Burgos CF vs Leganés: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Burgos CF displays solid home form with a 42% win rate and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per match at home. However, their recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some doubts. Leganés shows better current form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches and an impressive 12% win rate in away matches, while a significant 42% of their away games end in a draw. A key factor is the similar average possession (51% vs 50%) and comparable xG values, confirming the evenly-matched nature of the clash. Considering the hosts' solid defense and the visitors' improving form, I expect a tight contest ending in a share of the points.
Burgos CF vs Leganés: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burgos CF played Leganés in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Burgos CF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Leganés: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burgos CF scores 1.13 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Leganés scores 1.09 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burgos CF 43%, Leganés 43%. Over 2.5: Burgos CF 39%, Leganés 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Leganés has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.17. Burgos CF: 10.2 shots per match, Leganés: 11.3.
Match halves
Burgos CF: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Leganés: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Burgos CF: 76-90+ (7 goals). Leganés: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Burgos CF displays solid home form with a 42% win rate and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per match at home. However, their recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some doubts. Leganés shows better current form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches and an impressive 12% win rate in away matches, while a significant 42% of their away games end in a draw. A key factor is the similar average possession (51% vs 50%) and comparable xG values, confirming the evenly-matched nature of the clash. Considering the hosts' solid defense and the visitors' improving form, I expect a tight contest ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burgos CF | Leganés | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leganés is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burgos CF · 1.8 pts / match - Leganés
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burgos CF scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Leganés keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Leganés scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burgos CF
Over / Under - Leganés
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leganés is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Burgos CF · 1.35 pts / match - Leganés
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leganés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burgos CF
Leganés
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Burgos CF | Liga | Leganés | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burgos CF 1 - 0 - 0 Leganés. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burgos CF vs Leganés?
The Segunda División match finished Burgos CF 2:1 Leganés. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burgos CF vs Leganés?
Burgos CF score 1.13 goals per game on average and Leganés 1.09. The Segunda División average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Burgos CF's matches and 43% of Leganés's.
What form are Burgos CF and Leganés in?
Over the last 5 games Burgos CF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Leganés 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burgos CF vs Leganés?
The statistical background for Burgos CF vs Leganés — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.