Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
AFC Bournemouth is showing significantly better form than Burnley, which is confirmed by an unbeaten streak of five matches (4 draws, 1 win) and a higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.8). Burnley sits 19th in the table with only a 14% home win rate and an alarming 43% of home games without a goal scored. Bournemouth has a much better offense in away games (averaging 1.64 goals per game vs Burnley's 1.07 at home) and a higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), indicating a higher quality of chance creation. Although both teams have an identical away/home goal difference (-8), Bournemouth demonstrates greater stability and efficiency, making them the favorite for this clash. Bournemouth's high draw rate on the road (43%) and Burnley's defensive struggles (averaging 1.64 goals conceded at home) suggest that the visitors have a realistic chance of securing three points.
Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burnley played AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Burnley: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burnley scores 1.10 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.52 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burnley 59%, AFC Bournemouth 66%. Over 2.5: Burnley 52%, AFC Bournemouth 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.07. Burnley: 9.1 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.7.
Match halves
Burnley: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.62. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AFC Bournemouth is showing significantly better form than Burnley, which is confirmed by an unbeaten streak of five matches (4 draws, 1 win) and a higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.8). Burnley sits 19th in the table with only a 14% home win rate and an alarming 43% of home games without a goal scored. Bournemouth has a much better offense in away games (averaging 1.64 goals per game vs Burnley's 1.07 at home) and a higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), indicating a higher quality of chance creation. Although both teams have an identical away/home goal difference (-8), Bournemouth demonstrates greater stability and efficiency, making them the favorite for this clash. Bournemouth's high draw rate on the road (43%) and Burnley's defensive struggles (averaging 1.64 goals conceded at home) suggest that the visitors have a realistic chance of securing three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Bournemouth is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Burnley · 1.4 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Burnley · 1.52 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Burnley · 1.59 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Burnley scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burnley
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.66 pts / match - Burnley · 1.38 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burnley
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 25% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burnley 0 - 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Burnley 0:0 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth?
Burnley score 1.10 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.52. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Burnley's matches and 66% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Burnley and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.