Burnley vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Burnley vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burnley play Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burnley scores 1.00 and concedes 1.97 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burnley 58%, Aston Villa 58%. Over 2.5: Burnley 50%, Aston Villa 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Aston Villa has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.10. Burnley: 9.3 shots per match, Aston Villa: 12.7.
Match halves
Burnley: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58. Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win (2). Burnley have just 4 wins this season versus Aston Villa’s 17 and sit 19th; the hosts have lost all of their last 5 matches (form: 5 losses) and collected 0 points in that span. In attack Burnley average 0.88 goals per home game and have only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa average 1.18 goals on the road and have 9 goals in their last 5, additionally recording 3.88 shots on target per game versus Burnley’s 2.88. Quality of chances favors the visitors — xG for Burnley at home is 1.17 versus 1.32 for Villa away, while Burnley also concede a higher xG against (1.86 vs 1.57), meaning they allow dangerous opportunities more often. Considering Burnley’s defensive issues (71 goals conceded this season, averaging 1.53 per home game) and the fact Burnley failed to score in 53% of home matches versus 35% for Aston Villa away, I assess the probabilities as: home 8%, draw 20%, away 72%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aston Villa is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Burnley · 1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Burnley · 1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa
Aston Villa is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.97 goals / match - Burnley · 1.29 goals / match - Aston Villa
Burnley scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burnley
Over / Under — Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aston Villa is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.66 pts / match - Burnley · 1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burnley
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.75 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burnley 0 - 0 - 1 Aston Villa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burnley vs Aston Villa?
The Premier League match finished Burnley 2:2 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Aston Villa?
Burnley score 1.00 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.47. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Burnley's matches and 58% of Aston Villa's.
What form are Burnley and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Aston Villa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Aston Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.