England - ChampionshipTurf MoorData current as of 19 September 2026

Burnley vs Derby County: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Burnley vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Burnley play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Turf Moor.

Current form

Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Derby County: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Burnley scores 1.14 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Derby County scores 0.86 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Burnley 100%, Derby County 43%. Over 2.5: Burnley 71%, Derby County 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Burnley has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Burnley: 14.3 shots per match, Derby County: 11.6.

Match halves

Burnley: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Derby County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Burnley: 46-60 (3 goals). Derby County: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.81)
(3.55)
(4.10)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals scored / match0.86
BurnleyDerby County
2.29Goals conceded / match1.86
BurnleyDerby County
49%Average possession49%
BurnleyDerby County
3.86Shots on target / match3.29
BurnleyDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.29Shots per match11.57
BurnleyDerby County
3.86Shots on target3.29
BurnleyDerby County
8%Shot conversion7.4%
BurnleyDerby County
49%Possession49%
BurnleyDerby County
1.47xG for1.4
BurnleyDerby County
1.53xG against1.8
BurnleyDerby County

Shooting quality

Burnley: AttackingDerby County: Balanced
BurnleyDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)27%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Derby County is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Burnley · 0.6 pts / match - Derby County

Burnley
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W43% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-4
0.43 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Derby County
LWLLL
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burnley is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Burnley · 0.86 goals / match - Derby County

Derby County is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.29 goals / match - Burnley · 1.86 goals / match - Derby County

Burnley scoring profile: very strong

Burnley scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)6
BurnleyDerby County
16Goals conceded (season)13
BurnleyDerby County
3.43Average goals in match2.71
BurnleyDerby County
5Goals scored (last 5)3
BurnleyDerby County
11Goals conceded (last 5)9
BurnleyDerby County

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal57%
BurnleyDerby County
14%2 goals29%
BurnleyDerby County
0%3 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County
0%4 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
BurnleyDerby County
71%2 goals71%
BurnleyDerby County
43%3 goals29%
BurnleyDerby County
14%4 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BurnleyDerby County
0%Scored in both halves29%
BurnleyDerby County

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BurnleyDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
BurnleyDerby County
100%BTTS - last 520%
BurnleyDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
BurnleyDerby County
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BurnleyDerby County

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
BurnleyDerby County
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BurnleyDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / match - Burnley · 1 pts / match - Derby County

Burnley - half-time state
14% leading29% draw57% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per match (1st half)1
BurnleyDerby County
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)1
BurnleyDerby County
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.57
BurnleyDerby County
29%Clean sheet before half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
57%No goal before half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
BurnleyDerby County
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
BurnleyDerby County
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.14
BurnleyDerby County
14%Clean sheet after half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County
43%No goal after half-time71%
BurnleyDerby County

Burnley - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Burnley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Burnley
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Burnley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
186%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

BurnleyLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 3.432.83 2.71
Both teams scored 100%65% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%62% 71%
Clean sheets 0%21% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%79% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%75% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Burnley and Derby County play?

Burnley face Derby County on 19 September 2026 in Championship at Turf Moor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Derby County?

Burnley score 1.14 goals per game on average and Derby County 0.86. The Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's matches and 43% of Derby County's.

What form are Burnley and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Derby County 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Derby County?

The statistical background for Burnley vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.