Burnley vs Manchester United: match statistics
Manchester United enters this fixture as the clear favorite. Burnley sits 19th in the table with a disastrous record of 3 wins in 20 matches and just a 20% home win rate, having failed to win any of their last 5 home games. The hosts possess the weakest attack (0.8 goals/match at home) and fail to score in 50% of their matches. Despite inconsistent form (1.2 PPG in the last 5 matches), Manchester United demonstrates significantly higher quality: 4.8 shots on target away, 1.6 goals/match, and only 10% of matches without scoring. The disparity in xG (1.56 vs 1.1) and possession (53% vs 43%) further favors the visitors. Given the massive quality gap between the 19th and 6th placed teams, Manchester United should secure the three points, though their defensive frailties (0% clean sheets away) might allow Burnley a consolation goal.
Burnley vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burnley play Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match date is 7 January 2026 at 21:15. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burnley scores 1.00 and concedes 1.97 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burnley 58%, Manchester United 71%. Over 2.5: Burnley 50%, Manchester United 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.10. Burnley: 9.3 shots per match, Manchester United: 15.7.
Match halves
Burnley: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58. Manchester United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). Manchester United: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Manchester United enters this fixture as the clear favorite. Burnley sits 19th in the table with a disastrous record of 3 wins in 20 matches and just a 20% home win rate, having failed to win any of their last 5 home games. The hosts possess the weakest attack (0.8 goals/match at home) and fail to score in 50% of their matches. Despite inconsistent form (1.2 PPG in the last 5 matches), Manchester United demonstrates significantly higher quality: 4.8 shots on target away, 1.6 goals/match, and only 10% of matches without scoring. The disparity in xG (1.56 vs 1.1) and possession (53% vs 43%) further favors the visitors. Given the massive quality gap between the 19th and 6th placed teams, Manchester United should secure the three points, though their defensive frailties (0% clean sheets away) might allow Burnley a consolation goal.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester United is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Burnley · 2.6 pts / match - Manchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Burnley · 1.82 goals / match - Manchester United
Manchester United is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.97 goals / match - Burnley · 1.32 goals / match - Manchester United
Burnley scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burnley
Over / Under — Manchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 147% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.66 pts / match - Burnley · 1.63 pts / match - Manchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burnley
Manchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burnley 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burnley vs Manchester United?
The Premier League match finished Burnley 2:2 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Manchester United?
Burnley score 1.00 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.82. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Burnley's matches and 71% of Manchester United's.
What form are Burnley and Manchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Manchester United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Manchester United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Burnley vs Manchester United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.