England - ChampionshipTurf MoorData current as of 30 August 2026

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Burnley play Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match date is 2 September 2026. Venue: Turf Moor.

Current form

Burnley: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Middlesbrough: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Burnley scores 1.33 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Burnley 100%, Middlesbrough 100%. Over 2.5: Burnley 100%, Middlesbrough 100%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Middlesbrough has higher xG: 2.10 vs 1.53. Burnley: 14.7 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 20.0.

Match halves

Burnley: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

Burnley: 76-90+ (2 goals). Middlesbrough: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.38)
(3.35)
(2.75)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match2
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
3Goals conceded / match1.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
53%Average possession65%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
4Shots on target / match5.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.67Shots per match20
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
4Shots on target5.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
9.1%Shot conversion10%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
53%Possession65%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
1.53xG for2.1
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
1.55xG against1.14
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

Shooting quality

Burnley: AttackingMiddlesbrough: Dominant
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Accuracy (shots on target)27%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Middlesbrough is 506% better for: last-5 form.

0.33 pts / match - Burnley · 2 pts / match - Middlesbrough

Burnley
DLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Middlesbrough
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Middlesbrough is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Burnley · 2 goals / match - Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Burnley · 1.33 goals / match - Middlesbrough

Burnley scoring profile: very strong

Burnley scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)6
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
9Goals conceded (season)4
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
4.33Average goals in match3.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
4Goals scored (last 5)6
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
33%2 goals67%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%3 goals33%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%4 goals0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
100%2 goals33%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
67%3 goals0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
33%4 goals0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

78%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%Scored in both halves0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
100%BTTS - last 5100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Middlesbrough is 303% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / match - Burnley · 1.33 pts / match - Middlesbrough

Burnley - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
Middlesbrough - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per match (1st half)1.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
1.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
2.33Average goals (1st half)0.67
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
33%No goal before half-time67%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
2Average goals (2nd half)2.67
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
67%No goal after half-time33%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough

Burnley - second-half results

33% W0% R67% P
1
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Middlesbrough - second-half results

67% W0% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Burnley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.331.00
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match1.71.3
Average goals in match2.32.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals33%33%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 2
Middlesbrough - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.332.00
Goals scored / match0.31.7
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match0.72.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Burnley
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
126%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Burnley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
216%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

BurnleyLigaMiddlesbrough
Average goals in match 4.333.03 3.33
Both teams scored 100%78% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%75% 100%
Clean sheets 0%15% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%78% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%81% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per match
78%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Burnley and Middlesbrough play?

Burnley face Middlesbrough on 2 September 2026 in Championship at Turf Moor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Middlesbrough?

Burnley score 1.33 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 2.00. The Championship average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's matches and 100% of Middlesbrough's.

What form are Burnley and Middlesbrough in?

Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Middlesbrough 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Middlesbrough?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.