Burnley vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Burnley played Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 30 December 2025. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Newcastle United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Burnley scores 1.06 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.28 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Burnley 56%, Newcastle United 61%. Over 2.5: Burnley 50%, Newcastle United 61%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Newcastle United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.05. Burnley: 8.9 shots per match, Newcastle United: 12.3.

Match halves

Burnley: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.67. Newcastle United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Burnley: 76-90+ (8 goals). Newcastle United: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
BurnleyNewcastle United
15Shots20
BurnleyNewcastle United
4Shots on target9
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.54xG2.17
BurnleyNewcastle United
3Corners4
BurnleyNewcastle United
44Dangerous attacks39
BurnleyNewcastle United
9Fouls3
BurnleyNewcastle United
2Cards1
BurnleyNewcastle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BurnleyNewcastle United
1.06Goals scored / match1.28
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.89Goals conceded / match1.28
BurnleyNewcastle United
41%Average possession52%
BurnleyNewcastle United
3.06Shots on target / match4.28
BurnleyNewcastle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.89Shots per match12.33
BurnleyNewcastle United
3.06Shots on target4.28
BurnleyNewcastle United
11.9%Shot conversion10.4%
BurnleyNewcastle United
41%Possession52%
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.05xG for1.51
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.77xG against1.29
BurnleyNewcastle United

Shooting quality

Burnley: BalancedNewcastle United: Balanced
BurnleyNewcastle United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Newcastle United is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Burnley · 1 pts / match - Newcastle United

Burnley
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-12
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Newcastle United
DWLDL
Season result split
33% W28% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-7
1.28 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Newcastle United is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Burnley · 1.28 goals / match - Newcastle United

Newcastle United is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.89 goals / match - Burnley · 1.28 goals / match - Newcastle United

Burnley scoring profile: strong

Burnley scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Newcastle United scoring profile: very strong

Newcastle United scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

19Goals scored (season)23
BurnleyNewcastle United
34Goals conceded (season)23
BurnleyNewcastle United
2.94Average goals in match2.56
BurnleyNewcastle United
4Goals scored (last 5)6
BurnleyNewcastle United
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
BurnleyNewcastle United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal72%
BurnleyNewcastle United
33%2 goals44%
BurnleyNewcastle United
6%3 goals6%
BurnleyNewcastle United
0%4 goals6%
BurnleyNewcastle United

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal72%
BurnleyNewcastle United
61%2 goals39%
BurnleyNewcastle United
33%3 goals17%
BurnleyNewcastle United
6%4 goals0%
BurnleyNewcastle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Newcastle United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 18 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time6%
BurnleyNewcastle United
11%BTTS in both halves0%
BurnleyNewcastle United
22%Scored in both halves11%
BurnleyNewcastle United

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
BurnleyNewcastle United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BurnleyNewcastle United
60%BTTS - last 560%
BurnleyNewcastle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
BurnleyNewcastle United
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
BurnleyNewcastle United
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BurnleyNewcastle United

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
BurnleyNewcastle United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
BurnleyNewcastle United
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
BurnleyNewcastle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Newcastle United is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Burnley · 1.56 pts / match - Newcastle United

Burnley - half-time state
6% leading50% draw44% trailing
Newcastle United - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.56
BurnleyNewcastle United
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.67
BurnleyNewcastle United
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.28Average goals (1st half)0.94
BurnleyNewcastle United
33%Clean sheet before half-time78%
BurnleyNewcastle United
67%No goal before half-time56%
BurnleyNewcastle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)0.89
BurnleyNewcastle United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
BurnleyNewcastle United
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.61
BurnleyNewcastle United
44%Clean sheet after half-time33%
BurnleyNewcastle United
44%No goal after half-time61%
BurnleyNewcastle United

Burnley - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding283%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Newcastle United - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
28
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Burnley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Newcastle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Burnley
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
9
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Newcastle United
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Burnley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Newcastle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

BurnleyLigaNewcastle United
Average goals in match 2.942.79 2.56
Both teams scored 56%53% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%56% 61%
Clean sheets 17%26% 28%
Goal before half-time 72%72% 61%
Goal after half-time 78%81% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Newcastle UnitedGoalYoane Wissa
  2. BurnleySubstitutionOn: Bashir HumphreysOff: Maxime Esteve
  3. BurnleyGoalJosh LaurentAssist: Armando Broja
  4. Newcastle UnitedYellow cardJoelinton Cassio Apolinário de Lira
  5. BurnleyYellow cardKyle Andrew Walker
  6. Newcastle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jacob Kai MurphyOff: Harvey Lewis Barnes
  7. BurnleySubstitutionOn: Jacob Bruun LarsenOff: Loum Tchaouna

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robert JonesMatches officiated: 18
4.17Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins17%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Burnley 0 - 0 - 1 Newcastle United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Burnley vs Newcastle United?

The Premier League match finished Burnley 1:3 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Newcastle United?

Burnley score 1.06 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.28. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Burnley's matches and 61% of Newcastle United's.

What form are Burnley and Newcastle United in?

Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Newcastle United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Newcastle United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Burnley vs Newcastle United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.