Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 2 September 2026. Venue: Pirelli Stadium. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 0.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 100%, AFC Wimbledon 0%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 67%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Wimbledon has higher xG: 1.11 vs 0.97. Burton Albion: 8.3 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 9.3.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (2 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion sit higher in the table in 5th place, while AFC Wimbledon are 23rd, having averaged 1.2 points per game over their last five matches compared with the opponents’ 0.6. The hosts have scored 7 goals during this period, whereas the visitors have managed just 2 and remain winless in their last five appearances. Away from home, Wimbledon are yet to score, averaging only 1 shot on target per match and losing 100% of such fixtures, while conceding an average of 3 goals. Burton have drawn all of their home matches so far, but they create chances worth 1.08 xG while allowing just 0.81 xG at their own end, giving them noticeably greater control over chance quality. A draw is a realistic possibility given Burton’s three draws in their last five matches, but the visitors’ poor finishing and vulnerable defence point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is AFC Wimbledon's poor finishing: they have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and have yet to score in the current league data. Burton have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season, while Wimbledon have not avoided a scoreless game even once. The hosts have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals over their last five league fixtures, but their defence allowed opponents an xG of 1.39, which is not high enough to offset the visitors' attacking problems. Burton have the better recent attacking potential, with an xG of 1.58 compared with their opponents' 1.10, so the more likely scenario is that the hosts will score while at least one team fails to find the net. Although the league-wide BTTS average is a high 71%, only 40% of Wimbledon's last five matches featured goals from both teams, which further supports the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Burton averaged 1.4 goals scored over their last five matches, while AFC Wimbledon conceded 1.6, clearly strengthening the case for a home goal. Chance quality also favors Burton: their average xG over the last five games is 1.58, while the opposition allowed an average of 1.64 xG. Wimbledon scored only 0.4 goals per match, but Burton’s defense conceded an average of 1.4, giving the visitors a realistic chance to add a goal. The projected total of 2.56 goals is close to the league average of 2.63, while the Over 1.5 line offers the safest edge based on the expected course of the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Burton Albion have averaged 1.4 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.4 for AFC Wimbledon, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game. The hosts led at the break in 40% of these fixtures, whereas Wimbledon were behind at half-time in 40%, strengthening the scenario of Burton taking the lead before the interval. Burton averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for Wimbledon, while their first-half goal differences stood at +1 and -3, respectively. The visitors have failed to win any of their last five matches and have scored just 0.2 goals per game after the break, so a Burton lead should be more likely to hold until the final whistle than to be overturned in a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 18% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 303% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Burton Albion · 0.33 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Burton Albion · 0.67 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.98 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Burton Albion 2 - 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 4:1 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Burton Albion won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion score 1.33 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 0.33. The EFL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burton Albion's matches and 0% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.