England - EFL League OnePirelli StadiumData current as of 02 September 2026

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Burton Albion play AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match date is 2 September 2026. Venue: Pirelli Stadium.

Current form

Burton Albion: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Burton Albion scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 0.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Burton Albion 100%, AFC Wimbledon 0%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 67%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

AFC Wimbledon has higher xG: 1.11 vs 0.97. Burton Albion: 8.3 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 9.3.

Match halves

Burton Albion: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Burton Albion: 16-30 (2 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(3.35)
(3.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Goals scored / match0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Goals conceded / match1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
39%Average possession47%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
3Shots on target / match1.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.33Shots per match9.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
3Shots on target1.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
16%Shot conversion3.6%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
39%Possession47%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.97xG for1.11
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.46xG against1.36
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Shooting quality

Burton Albion: Counter-attackingAFC Wimbledon: Balanced
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
Accuracy (shots on target)36%18%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Burton Albion
DWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
AFC Wimbledon
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burton Albion is 303% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Burton Albion · 0.33 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion scoring profile: strong

Burton Albion scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

AFC Wimbledon scoring profile: strong

AFC Wimbledon scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals conceded (season)3
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
2.67Average goals in match1.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%2 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%3 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%4 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%2 goals33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%3 goals33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%4 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Scored in both halves0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
100%BTTS - last 50%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Burton Albion is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - Burton Albion · 0.67 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
AFC Wimbledon - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1Goals scored (1st half)0
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%No goal before half-time100%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%No goal after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion - second-half results

0% W67% R33% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Wimbledon - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Burton Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.330.67
Goals scored / match1.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match1.31.3
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
AFC Wimbledon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.671.33
Goals scored / match0.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.70.3
Average goals in match0.70.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Burton Albion
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

AFC Wimbledon
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
67%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Burton Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AFC Wimbledon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
24%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Burton AlbionLigaAFC Wimbledon
Average goals in match 2.672.98 1.33
Both teams scored 100%67% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%57% 33%
Clean sheets 0%21% 67%
Goal before half-time 67%60% 33%
Goal after half-time 67%83% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Burton Albion 2 - 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Burton Albion FC
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1
Burton Albion FC

FAQ

When do Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon play?

Burton Albion face AFC Wimbledon on 2 September 2026 in EFL League One at Pirelli Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Burton Albion won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

Burton Albion score 1.33 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 0.33. The EFL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burton Albion's matches and 0% of AFC Wimbledon's.

What form are Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon in?

Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.