Burton Albion vs Bradford City: match statistics
Burton Albion are 18th in the table and show poor home form with 47% of home matches lost, although their home goal difference (-3) is relatively decent. Bradford City, despite being 4th in the league, have very weak away results – only 26% wins and a negative goal difference (-9) in away matches. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent: Burton have won only 1 of their last 5 games (0.8 PPG), while Bradford have a slightly better run (1.4 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.46 vs 1.33), but both teams have a similar shot conversion rate (9%) and average goals per match. Considering Burton's poor home form and Bradford's weak away results, and given their comparable attacking metrics, a draw or a narrow home win seems most likely.
Burton Albion vs Bradford City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Bradford City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bradford City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.11 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Bradford City scores 1.26 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 45%, Bradford City 55%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 55%, Bradford City 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bradford City has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.36. Burton Albion: 11.5 shots per match, Bradford City: 13.0.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Bradford City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (9 goals). Bradford City: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion are 18th in the table and show poor home form with 47% of home matches lost, although their home goal difference (-3) is relatively decent. Bradford City, despite being 4th in the league, have very weak away results – only 26% wins and a negative goal difference (-9) in away matches. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent: Burton have won only 1 of their last 5 games (0.8 PPG), while Bradford have a slightly better run (1.4 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.46 vs 1.33), but both teams have a similar shot conversion rate (9%) and average goals per match. Considering Burton's poor home form and Bradford's weak away results, and given their comparable attacking metrics, a draw or a narrow home win seems most likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bradford City is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.4 pts / match - Bradford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bradford City is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.26 goals / match - Bradford City
Bradford City is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.11 goals / match - Bradford City
Burton Albion scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Bradford City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Bradford City scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Bradford City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bradford City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.26 pts / match - Bradford City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bradford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Bradford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 1 - 0 - 0 Bradford City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Bradford City?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 2:1 Bradford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Bradford City?
Burton Albion score 1.11 goals per game on average and Bradford City 1.26. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Burton Albion's matches and 55% of Bradford City's.
What form are Burton Albion and Bradford City in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bradford City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Bradford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.