Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers: match statistics
Burton Albion as the host has the advantage in this clash, despite both teams being in the lower part of the table. The hosts demonstrate better home form with 36% of matches won at home and a favorable goal difference (-4) compared to Doncaster (-13 on the road). Burton scores an average of 1.14 goals per home match with higher efficiency (9% conversion) and better xG (1.46), while Doncaster scores merely 0.79 goals on average away with 7% conversion. The visitors have very poor away efficiency with 64% losses and only 21% victories, making them a clear outsider. Recent form of both teams is similar (Burton 1.4 PPG, Doncaster 2.0 PPG), but the advantage of the own pitch and better offensive statistics should give the hosts a slight edge. An even match is expected with the possibility of a draw, but Burton has higher chances of securing three points.
Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Doncaster Rovers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 3 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Doncaster Rovers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.07 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Doncaster Rovers scores 1.11 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 43%, Doncaster Rovers 54%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 57%, Doncaster Rovers 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Doncaster Rovers has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Burton Albion: 11.6 shots per match, Doncaster Rovers: 12.7.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54. Doncaster Rovers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (6 goals). Doncaster Rovers: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion as the host has the advantage in this clash, despite both teams being in the lower part of the table. The hosts demonstrate better home form with 36% of matches won at home and a favorable goal difference (-4) compared to Doncaster (-13 on the road). Burton scores an average of 1.14 goals per home match with higher efficiency (9% conversion) and better xG (1.46), while Doncaster scores merely 0.79 goals on average away with 7% conversion. The visitors have very poor away efficiency with 64% losses and only 21% victories, making them a clear outsider. Recent form of both teams is similar (Burton 1.4 PPG, Doncaster 2.0 PPG), but the advantage of the own pitch and better offensive statistics should give the hosts a slight edge. An even match is expected with the possibility of a draw, but Burton has higher chances of securing three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Doncaster Rovers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.6 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.61 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers
Burton Albion scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Doncaster Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Doncaster Rovers scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Doncaster Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Doncaster Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Doncaster Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 1 - 0 Doncaster Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:2 Doncaster Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers?
Burton Albion score 1.07 goals per game on average and Doncaster Rovers 1.11. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Burton Albion's matches and 54% of Doncaster Rovers's.
What form are Burton Albion and Doncaster Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Doncaster Rovers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.