Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: match statistics
Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Mansfield Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Pirelli Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Burton Albion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mansfield Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Mansfield Town scores 1.33 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 83%, Mansfield Town 50%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 83%, Mansfield Town 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Mansfield Town has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.06. Burton Albion: 9.5 shots per match, Mansfield Town: 12.5.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67. Mansfield Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (4 goals). Mansfield Town: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion are unbeaten at home, winning 1 of their 3 matches and drawing 2, while Mansfield Town have lost all 3 away fixtures. The hosts average 2.33 goals per home game, compared with just 0.33 for the visitors away from home; in addition, Mansfield have failed to score in 67% of such matches. Mansfield’s defence concedes an average of 2.67 goals away from home, with an xG against of 1.70, while Burton register 11 shots per home game and convert 21% of their attempts. The recent five-match form also favours the hosts: Burton have collected 7 points, while their opponents have managed just 4, with Mansfield’s goal difference standing at 6:10. Burton have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, so a goal for the visitors or a closely contested spell remains possible; however, the hosts’ advantage should be enough to secure victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes has moderately strong support, as Burton has seen this outcome in 67% of their matches this season and in as many as 80% of their last five fixtures. The hosts have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last five matches, while Mansfield have scored 1.2 goals and allowed opponents 2.0 per game. Mansfield have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, and their average of 2.67 goals conceded away from home strongly favours a Burton goal. The risk to the selection is Mansfield’s poor away scoring record: they average just 0.33 goals per game on the road and have failed to score in 67% of such matches. Nevertheless, the visitors’ recent xG of 1.31, combined with Burton’s 1.61 xG conceded, suggests a realistic chance that the away side will overcome this weakness.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Burton should create a clear attacking advantage: they average 2.33 goals at home, while Mansfield concede as many as 2.67 goals per away match. The quality-of-chances metrics confirm this, with Burton averaging 1.62 xG, while Mansfield allow opponents 1.70 xG. In their last five matches, Burton recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games, compared with 60% for Mansfield, with an average of 3.6 and 3.2 total goals respectively in their matches. However, the visitors have limited scoring potential away from home, scoring just 0.33 goals and failing to score in 67% of such matches, which is why the safer Over 1.5 goals offers the clearest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Burton Albion hold a clear advantage in the home-data profile: they score an average of 2.33 goals per match, while Mansfield score only 0.33 away from home and concede as many as 2.67. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, scoring an average of 1.33 first-half goals without conceding, whereas the visitors have failed to score in this phase and were trailing at half-time in 67% of their away fixtures. Burton’s advantage is also supported by their last five matches: they led at half-time in 60% of cases, compared with 20% for Mansfield, while their average first-half goal tallies were 1.2 and 0.6 respectively. The hosts’ xG stands at 1.62 versus Mansfield’s 1.14, while the visitors allow opponents an average of 1.70 xG, further supporting the scenario of Burton taking an early lead. The hosts remain favourites after the interval, making Burton Albion to lead at half-time and win at full-time the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Mansfield Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 0.8 pts / match - Mansfield Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.33 goals / match - Mansfield Town
Burton Albion is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.83 goals / match - Mansfield Town
Burton Albion scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Mansfield Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Mansfield Town scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Mansfield Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.33 pts / match - Mansfield Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mansfield Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Mansfield Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Burton Albion 1 - 1 - 0 Mansfield Town. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 2:2 Mansfield Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Burton Albion won 1, Mansfield Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
Burton Albion score 1.67 goals per game on average and Mansfield Town 1.33. The EFL League One average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Burton Albion's matches and 50% of Mansfield Town's.
What form are Burton Albion and Mansfield Town in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mansfield Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


