Burton Albion vs Rotherham United: match statistics
Burton Albion and Rotherham United are two teams from the bottom of the table, occupying 21st and 23rd place respectively, which indicates an even sporting level. Burton has not achieved any victory in the last five matches, earning just 0.4 points per match, while Rotherham presents slightly better form with 1.4 points per match and two wins in the last five meetings. xG statistics are close for both teams, though Burton has a slight advantage in home matches (1.5 xG For vs 1.03 xG For Rotherham away). Both teams frequently concede goals and struggle to keep a clean sheet, suggesting the possibility of a draw in this direct clash of teams fighting for survival. Given the hosts' poor form at home (47% losses) and the visitors' difficulties away (64% losses), a draw seems the most likely result, although Burton's slight advantage in possession (51% vs 41%) gives them marginally better chances for a favorable outcome.
Burton Albion vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Burton Albion: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Rotherham United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.10 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Rotherham United scores 1.07 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 47%, Rotherham United 48%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 60%, Rotherham United 59%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.21. Burton Albion: 11.9 shots per match, Rotherham United: 10.3.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.57. Rotherham United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (7 goals). Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion and Rotherham United are two teams from the bottom of the table, occupying 21st and 23rd place respectively, which indicates an even sporting level. Burton has not achieved any victory in the last five matches, earning just 0.4 points per match, while Rotherham presents slightly better form with 1.4 points per match and two wins in the last five meetings. xG statistics are close for both teams, though Burton has a slight advantage in home matches (1.5 xG For vs 1.03 xG For Rotherham away). Both teams frequently concede goals and struggle to keep a clean sheet, suggesting the possibility of a draw in this direct clash of teams fighting for survival. Given the hosts' poor form at home (47% losses) and the visitors' difficulties away (64% losses), a draw seems the most likely result, although Burton's slight advantage in possession (51% vs 41%) gives them marginally better chances for a favorable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rotherham United is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.4 pts / match - Rotherham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Rotherham United scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Rotherham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.1 pts / match - Rotherham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Rotherham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.59 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 1 - 0 Rotherham United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Rotherham United?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:0 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Rotherham United?
Burton Albion score 1.10 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Burton Albion's matches and 48% of Rotherham United's.
What form are Burton Albion and Rotherham United in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rotherham United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Rotherham United?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Rotherham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.