Burton Albion vs Stevenage: match statistics
Burton Albion presents solid home form with 41% wins at home and a goal difference of -1, which is significantly better than Stevenage's results on the road. The hosts have a better xG indicator in home matches (1.48) than the visitors do away (1.09), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Stevenage concedes an average of 1.53 goals away and has only 29% wins in away matches, with 53% losses. Burton has earned 8 points in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), while Stevenage has 9 points (1.8 PPG); however, the visitors' away form is much weaker with a streak of five losses in their recent matches on foreign soil. The possession advantage for the hosts (50% vs 44%) and better home defensive efficiency (35% clean sheets) argue for a Burton Albion victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Burton Albion vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Burton Albion: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stevenage: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.11 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.12 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 46%, Stevenage 52%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 57%, Stevenage 42%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.19. Burton Albion: 11.5 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.8.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Stevenage: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (8 goals). Stevenage: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion presents solid home form with 41% wins at home and a goal difference of -1, which is significantly better than Stevenage's results on the road. The hosts have a better xG indicator in home matches (1.48) than the visitors do away (1.09), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Stevenage concedes an average of 1.53 goals away and has only 29% wins in away matches, with 53% losses. Burton has earned 8 points in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), while Stevenage has 9 points (1.8 PPG); however, the visitors' away form is much weaker with a streak of five losses in their recent matches on foreign soil. The possession advantage for the hosts (50% vs 44%) and better home defensive efficiency (35% clean sheets) argue for a Burton Albion victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.8 pts / match - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stevenage is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.06 goals / match - Stevenage
Burton Albion scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 1 - 0 Stevenage. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 0:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
Burton Albion score 1.11 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.12. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Burton Albion's matches and 52% of Stevenage's.
What form are Burton Albion and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stevenage 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Stevenage — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.