Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen: match statistics
Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Busan I'Park played Gimpo Citizen in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Busan Gudeok Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Busan I'Park: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gimpo Citizen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Busan I'Park scores 2.20 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Gimpo Citizen scores 1.27 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Busan I'Park 80%, Gimpo Citizen 53%. Over 2.5: Busan I'Park 73%, Gimpo Citizen 40%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Busan I'Park has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.42. Busan I'Park: 12.9 shots per match, Gimpo Citizen: 11.2.
Match halves
Busan I'Park: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.20. Gimpo Citizen: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Busan I'Park: 76-90+ (11 goals). Gimpo Citizen: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I expect a home win: Busan I'Park have 10 wins this season and lead the table, scoring 33 goals versus Gimpo's 19, indicating a clear offensive advantage. At home Busan averages 2.14 goals and 0% clean-sheetless matches, with 5 shots on target per game and an 18% conversion rate, while Gimpo away averages 1.31 goals, 4.08 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Recent 5-game form is mixed — Busan scored 12 and conceded 9 in the last five, Gimpo scored 6 and conceded 5, with Gimpo averaging 2.0 points per game versus 1.6 for Busan. Gimpo has the edge in possession (50% vs 44%) and is solid away (0.92 goals conceded and 38% clean sheets on the road), but Busan’s key strengths are efficiency and an unbeaten home record (0% losses and 71% home wins). Based on this I assess the probabilities as: Home 62%, Draw 20%, Away 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (70%) because Busan I'Park concedes on average 2.0 goals per match and has 0% clean sheets this season, significantly increasing opponents' scoring chances. In the last 5 matches Busan scores 2.4 goals on average and concedes 1.8, with BTTS occurring in 80% of those fixtures, indicating a tendency for both teams to score. Gimpo Citizen averages 1.31 goals scored, xG 1.42 and 4.08 shots on target per game with a 12% conversion rate, meaning they can exploit defensive weaknesses. The counterpoint is Gimpo concedes only 0.92 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 38% of games, with BTTS in their last 5 at 40%; however the league overall has 62% BTTS matches, which further favors the both-teams-to-score option. Overall the balance of signals (Busan's 2.0 goals conceded, Gimpo's 4.08 shots on target and 12% conversion, and Busan's 80% BTTS in last 5) leads me to choose Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined xG totals 2.79: home xG_for 1.44 vs away xG_against 1.20 → expected ~1.32 goals for Busan, and away xG_for 1.42 vs home xG_against 1.51 → ~1.47 goals for Gimpo (total 2.79). A Poisson model with λ=2.79 indicates ~77% probability of ≥2 goals (Over 1.5) and ~53% probability of ≥3 goals (Over 2.5). Additionally, Busan has a season over 1.5 rate of 100% and in the last 5 matches averages 2.4 goals (12 goals in 5 matches) and shows 80% over 2.5 in form, while Gimpo has 54% over 1.5 and 38% over 2.5 seasonally, so I adjusted probabilities upward (Over 1.5 to 85% and Over 2.5 to 60%). The difference in shots on target (Gimpo 4.08 vs Busan 2.5) and conversion (12% vs 8%) and Busan’s lack of clean sheets (0%) vs Gimpo’s 38% clean sheets supports a scoring scenario but limits the chance of a very high scoreline (>3.5). Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (selection: Over, line 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal data show a clear advantage for Gimpo: Busan has a 0% win rate and averages 0.5 points per match, while Gimpo wins 46% of games and averages 1.77 points per match. Busan led at the break in 50% of matches and scores an average of 1.0 goals by half-time, but concedes an average of 1.5 goals after the break and scores none (0.0) in second halves, indicating a loss of the lead after halftime. Gimpo has similar attacking xG (1.42 versus the home side’s 1.44) but superior defense (xG against 1.20 versus 1.51) and scores on average 0.77 goals after the break, winning the second half in 54% of matches. Additionally, Gimpo scored 7 goals in minutes 76–90 while Busan conceded 3 in that phase, confirming a tendency for late goals by the visitors; therefore the strongest signal is the 1/2 scenario (home team leading at Half-Time, visitors complete a turnaround by Full-Time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Busan I'Park | Gimpo Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gimpo Citizen is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 2 pts / match - Gimpo Citizen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Busan I'Park · 1.27 goals / match - Gimpo Citizen
Gimpo Citizen is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Busan I'Park · 1.07 goals / match - Gimpo Citizen
Busan I'Park scores in 100% of matches (15 of 15 matches), while Gimpo Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Gimpo Citizen scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Busan I'Park
Over / Under - Gimpo Citizen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busan I'Park is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 1.4 pts / match - Gimpo Citizen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gimpo Citizen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Busan I'Park
Gimpo Citizen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Busan I'Park | Liga | Gimpo Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.53 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Busan I'Park 1 - 1 - 1 Gimpo Citizen. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
The K League 2 match finished Busan I'Park 2:0 Gimpo Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Busan I'Park and Gimpo Citizen?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Busan I'Park won 1, Gimpo Citizen won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
Busan I'Park score 2.20 goals per game on average and Gimpo Citizen 1.27. The K League 2 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Busan I'Park's matches and 53% of Gimpo Citizen's.
What form are Busan I'Park and Gimpo Citizen in?
Over the last 5 games Busan I'Park have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gimpo Citizen 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Busan I'Park vs Gimpo Citizen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.