Busan I'Park vs Suwon: match statistics
Busan I'Park vs Suwon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Busan I'Park played Suwon in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Busan I'Park: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Suwon: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Busan I'Park scores 2.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Suwon scores 2.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Busan I'Park 86%, Suwon 83%. Over 2.5: Busan I'Park 71%, Suwon 100%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Suwon has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.41. Busan I'Park: 12.4 shots per match, Suwon: 12.5.
Match halves
Busan I'Park: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.43. Suwon: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Busan I'Park: 76-90+ (7 goals). Suwon: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Busan I'Park holds a clear advantage based on form and home performance: they sit 1st in the table, have won 5 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals in those games, with 16 goals in the season overall. At home the hosts are also more compact defensively — they concede on average 0.67 goals per home match, have 33% clean sheets at home and have never finished a home game without scoring (0%). Suwon’s strengths lie in building positional superiority: away they record 57% possession, average 11.33 shots per match with 4.33 on target and an away xG of 1.34 versus the hosts’ 1.11, indicating they create slightly better chances. However, the visitors concede 1.67 goals per away match on average and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road (0%), and in the last 5 matches Suwon scored 9 and conceded 8, while Busan scored 12 and conceded 5. Considering Busan’s higher efficiency (21% shot conversion vs 18% for Suwon), home defensive stability and a 5-win streak, I tip the home win, estimating their chances at about 60%, draw 22% and away win 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS: Busan I'Park has 100% BTTS this season, Suwon 67% this season, and in the last 5 matches both teams have 80% BTTS, indicating consistent scoring and conceding from both sides. Scoring statistics confirm this picture: Busan averages 2.33 goals and 1.33 conceded per match, Suwon averages 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, so goal exchange is likely. xG is 1.60 for the home side versus 1.34 for the visitors, with xG against 1.48 and 1.15, giving a combined ~2.94 expected goals and showing chance creation on both ends. Both teams average 4.33 shots on target per match, and season Over2.5 is 100% for both (league BTTS 63%), which further reinforces the both-teams-to-score scenario. On this basis I tip BTTS 'Yes' with a probability of 85% vs 15%, because strong quantitative signals dominate: Busan 100% season BTTS, 80% in last 5 matches and high xG and shot numbers.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams produce a lot of goals: Busan scores 2.33 goals per match on average, Suwon 2.00, and in the last 5 matches Busan has scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) while Suwon has 9 goals (1.8 avg). I estimate expected goals as the average of the team’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: (1.60 + 1.15)/2 = 1.38 for Busan and (1.34 + 1.48)/2 = 1.41 for Suwon, total ≈2.79. Historically both teams have had 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, and in the last 5 matches the over 2.5 rate is 80% (Busan) and 100% (Suwon), which strongly supports Over 2.5. Additionally, BTTS occurs frequently (Busan 100% at home, Suwon 67%), and for the home side the combination Over 2.5 + BTTS was 100%, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture. Therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the best line (estimated over ≈88%), while the 1.5 line is practically certain (≈95%), and 3.5 offers a smaller edge (over ≈40%, under ≈60%) given the expected ~2.79 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts dominate first halves: they led at the break in 3 of their 3 matches (100%), with an average goals by half-time of 1.67 versus 0.67 for Suwon. Over full matches Busan has superior offensive efficiency — averaging 2.33 goals per game versus 2.00 for the visitors, and in their last 5 fixtures the hosts won 5 of 5 (100%) while Suwon has 3 of 5 (60%). xG confirms the hosts' advantage 1.60 to 1.34, suggesting the lead at the break has a real basis and often translates into victory. However, the risk of a turnaround must be considered: the visitors have a higher average of goals in second halves (2.33 for Suwon vs 1.33 for Busan) and both teams commonly score (hosts in 100% of matches, visitors in 67%), which is why I assigned a moderate probability to 1/X and 1/2. Therefore the safest scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and full-time win for the hosts), hence the top single forecast of 52%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Busan I'Park | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Busan I'Park is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 2 pts / match - Suwon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
2.29 goals / match - Busan I'Park · 2.17 goals / match - Suwon
Busan I'Park is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Busan I'Park · 1.5 goals / match - Suwon
Busan I'Park scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Suwon keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Suwon scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Busan I'Park
Over / Under - Suwon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Suwon is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 2.17 pts / match - Suwon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Suwon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Busan I'Park
Suwon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Busan I'Park | Liga | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.86 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Busan I'Park vs Suwon?
The K League 2 match finished Busan I'Park 2:1 Suwon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Busan I'Park vs Suwon?
Busan I'Park score 2.29 goals per game on average and Suwon 2.17. The K League 2 average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Busan I'Park's matches and 83% of Suwon's.
What form are Busan I'Park and Suwon in?
Over the last 5 games Busan I'Park have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Suwon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Busan I'Park vs Suwon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Busan I'Park vs Suwon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.