Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 17 October 2026

Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: match statistics

Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Busko-Zdrój played Siarka Tarnobrzeg in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Busko-Zdrój: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Busko-Zdrój scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Busko-Zdrój 100%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 50%. Over 2.5: Busko-Zdrój 50%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.63. Busko-Zdrój: 6.0 shots per match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 5.5.

Match halves

Busko-Zdrój: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Busko-Zdrój: 0-15 (1 goals). Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Busko-Zdrój have been in clearly better form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg have managed just 1 point and lost 4 games. The hosts have scored 9 goals during this period, one more than their opponents, and their overall season record remains positive: 4 goals scored and 2 conceded without a defeat. Siarka have a particular defensive problem, having conceded 13 goals in their last five matches compared with 8 for Busko-Zdrój. Both teams drew their only previous match played at home and away respectively, so a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, the visitors’ current trend significantly reduces their chances. The hosts’ greater stability and Siarka’s weaker defensive efficiency point towards a Busko-Zdrój win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both sides to score is clear based on their current form: both Busko-Zdrój and Siarka Tarnobrzeg recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, compared with the league average of 56%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.6, while the visitors scored 1.6 goals but allowed their opponents as many as 2.6. Siarka has a particularly weak defense, as confirmed by 13 goals conceded in five matches and an average xG against them of 1.74. Despite averaging just 0.63 xG in recent matches, Busko-Zdrój scored 9 goals in five appearances, while Siarka scored 8, making the most likely scenario a goal for each team — BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Busko-Zdrój averaged 1.8 goals, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg averaged 1.6, providing a solid foundation for a total of more than two goals. The visitors’ defence was particularly vulnerable, conceding as many as 2.6 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.6 for the hosts. At least three goals were scored in 60% of the teams’ recent matches, while both teams found the net in 80% of cases. Caution is warranted by the quality of the hosts’ chances, with their average xG from the last five matches standing at just 0.63, which is why the Over 2.5 line does not offer the same clear advantage. Over 1.5 is the safest pick, as the combination of both attacks’ scoring efficiency and Siarka’s defensive weakness strongly supports a scenario with at least two goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Busko-Zdrój win, as Siarka were level at the break in 75% of their recent matches, while the hosts conceded just 0.5 goals per game before half-time during this period. After the break, the advantage should shift towards the home side: Busko-Zdrój averaged 1.0 goal in the second half, whereas Siarka scored just 0.25 and conceded as many as 1.75 goals. The last five matches clearly support the hosts, who averaged 1.8 goals and 1.6 points per game, with a 40% win rate, while the visitors failed to win any match, lost 80% of their games, and conceded 2.6 goals per fixture. The baseline data from a very small sample are less conclusive, but the advantage in current form and Siarka’s second-half weakness point towards a turnaround or the draw being decided in favour of the hosts.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 4
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Shots-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Shots on target-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0xG0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Corners-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0Dangerous attacks0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Fouls-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Cards-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals scored / match0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Goals conceded / match1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23%Average possession25%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Shots on target / match2.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6Shots per match5.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Shots on target2.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
33.3%Shot conversion9.1%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23%Possession25%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.63xG for1.75
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.41xG against1.71
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Shooting quality

Busko-Zdrój: Counter-attackingSiarka Tarnobrzeg: Balanced
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Accuracy (shots on target)50%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.32
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.670.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Busko-Zdrój is 300% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Busko-Zdrój · 0.5 pts / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
DL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Busko-Zdrój is 300% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Busko-Zdrój · 0.5 goals / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój scoring profile: very strong

Busko-Zdrój scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Siarka Tarnobrzeg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scoring profile: very strong

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Busko-Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

4Goals scored (season)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals conceded (season)2
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Average goals in match1.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%2 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%3 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%4 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%2 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%3 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%4 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Scored in both halves0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
100%BTTS - last 550%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Busko-Zdrój is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Busko-Zdrój · 1 pts / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Average goals (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%No goal before half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%No goal after half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Busko-Zdrój - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.51.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.51.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.00.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Busko-Zdrój
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Busko-Zdrój

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
35%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 100% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Busko-ZdrójLigaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Average goals in match• 3.002.95▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 100%62%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%48%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
48%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Busko-Zdrój 1:4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Busko-Zdrój score 2.00 goals per game on average and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0.50. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Busko-Zdrój's matches and 50% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's.

What form are Busko-Zdrój and Siarka Tarnobrzeg in?

Over the last 5 games Busko-Zdrój have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.