Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Buxoro displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and conceding only 0.5 goals on average per match at home, granting them defensive stability. However, Dinamo Samarqand demonstrates impressive away efficiency with a 100% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match, supported by a high shot conversion rate (18%). A key factor is the similar goal difference of both teams (GD +1) and close xG values, suggesting an even quality of chances created. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent, and with Buxoro remaining unbeaten at home, this could lead to cautious play and a points split.
Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buxoro played Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 19 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Buxoro: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Dinamo Samarqand: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buxoro scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buxoro 33%, Dinamo Samarqand 100%. Over 2.5: Buxoro 0%, Dinamo Samarqand 67%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Samarqand has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.32. Buxoro: 11.3 shots per match, Dinamo Samarqand: 10.3.
Match halves
Buxoro: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Dinamo Samarqand: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Buxoro: 0-15 (1 goals). Dinamo Samarqand: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Buxoro displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and conceding only 0.5 goals on average per match at home, granting them defensive stability. However, Dinamo Samarqand demonstrates impressive away efficiency with a 100% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match, supported by a high shot conversion rate (18%). A key factor is the similar goal difference of both teams (GD +1) and close xG values, suggesting an even quality of chances created. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent, and with Buxoro remaining unbeaten at home, this could lead to cautious play and a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buxoro | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Buxoro is 75% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Buxoro · 1.33 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Buxoro · 1.33 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Buxoro is 303% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Buxoro · 1.33 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Buxoro scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Buxoro
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Buxoro is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Buxoro · 2 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buxoro
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Buxoro | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.18 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 43% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 36% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Buxoro 0 - 1 - 1 Dinamo Samarqand. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Buxoro 3:1 Dinamo Samarqand. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Buxoro and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0, Dinamo Samarqand won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Buxoro score 1.00 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.33. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Buxoro's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Buxoro and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


