Buxoro vs Sogdiana: match statistics
Buxoro vs Sogdiana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buxoro played Sogdiana in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Buxoro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sogdiana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buxoro scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sogdiana scores 1.80 and concedes 2.30. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buxoro 50%, Sogdiana 80%. Over 2.5: Buxoro 30%, Sogdiana 80%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sogdiana has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. Buxoro: 11.3 shots per match, Sogdiana: 11.4.
Match halves
Buxoro: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Sogdiana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Buxoro: 31-45+ (3 goals). Sogdiana: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Buxoro are favorites due to a clear home defensive advantage: they concede only 0.6 goals per match on average, have 40% clean sheets and a 60% home win rate. The hosts create better offensive opportunities — on average 4.8 shots on target and 10.4 shots per match with xG 1.39, versus Sogdiana’s 3.4 shots on target, 9.0 shots and xG 1.13 on the road. Sogdiana, however, have good finishing (conversion rate 16% vs 13% for Buxoro) and have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches while Buxoro scored 6, which demonstrates the visitors’ attacking potential. The visitors’ problem is defense — Sogdiana concede 2.0 goals per away match on average, have no clean sheets (0%) and have conceded 23 goals this season versus 10 conceded by Buxoro, which gives the hosts the edge. Considering Buxoro’s superior xG and greater defensive stability, I forecast a 60% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Sogdiana victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 80% (Buxoro 80%, Sogdiana 80%), well above the league BTTS average of 54%, which is a strong signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. In Sogdiana's last 5 matches BTTS is 100% with 12 goals scored (avg 2.4), while Buxoro's last 5 show BTTS 40% with 6 goals scored (avg 1.2), indicating Sogdiana is currently more consistent offensively. At home Buxoro averages 2.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (xG 1.73 per match vs xG against 1.49), and on the road Sogdiana averages 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded (xG 1.13 vs xG against 1.44), so both sides create chances and concede goals. Shot metrics also support goal interchange: Buxoro averages 6.8 shots on target and 13.8 total, Sogdiana 3.4 on target and 9.0 total, and both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, lowering the likelihood of a goalless game. Considering both teams' seasonal 80% BTTS, Sogdiana's last 5 at 100% and Buxoro's higher xG and shot numbers, I predict BTTS 'Yes' with 80% probability versus 20% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal stats indicate high goal potential: Buxoro averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 2.6 per match, while Sogdiana scores 1.4 and concedes 2.0, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. xG stands at 1.73 for Buxoro versus 1.13 for Sogdiana, with xG against of 1.49 (Buxoro) and 1.44 (Sogdiana); based on this I forecast about 1.59 goals for Buxoro and 1.31 for Sogdiana, total 2.90. Seasonal percentages confirm an offensive trend: both teams have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals and 80% with over 2.5 goals, while over 3.5 occurs in 80% of Buxoro’s matches and 60% of Sogdiana’s. Buxoro averages 6.8 shots on target versus 3.4 for Sogdiana, with a conversion rate of 16%, and both teams have scored in 80% of matches, increasing the chance of both teams to score. Therefore the strongest and safest signal is over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5), with strong additional support for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Buxoro led at half-time in 3 matches (60%) and scores an average of 1.4 goals before the break versus Sogdiana’s 0.6, giving them a clear advantage in the first half. The home side generates more chances (xG 1.73 vs 1.13 and 6.8 shots on target vs 3.4), but concedes heavily after the break — an average of 1.8 second-half goals and 2.6 goals per game overall. Sogdiana records 40% draws this season and in their last 5 matches their second halves have produced goals in 100% of cases, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after half-time. Therefore the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/X: the hosts dominate at Half-Time, but second-half statistics indicate a high risk of relinquishing the lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buxoro | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sogdiana is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Buxoro · 1.8 goals / match - Sogdiana
Buxoro is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Buxoro · 2.3 goals / match - Sogdiana
Buxoro scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Sogdiana keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Sogdiana scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Buxoro
Over / Under - Sogdiana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sogdiana is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Buxoro · 1.8 pts / match - Sogdiana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sogdiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buxoro
Sogdiana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Buxoro | Liga | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.61 | ▲ 4.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 53% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Buxoro 1 - 1 - 0 Sogdiana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Buxoro vs Sogdiana?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Buxoro 2:1 Sogdiana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Buxoro and Sogdiana?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 1, Sogdiana won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Sogdiana?
Buxoro score 1.30 goals per game on average and Sogdiana 1.80. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Buxoro's matches and 80% of Sogdiana's.
What form are Buxoro and Sogdiana in?
Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sogdiana 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Sogdiana?
The statistical background for Buxoro vs Sogdiana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.