CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
CA La Paz is showing solid form in the last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, giving them 1.6 points per match. The hosts possess a significant advantage in possession (55% vs 46%) and shots on target (6.89 vs 3.36), translating to a greater offensive advantage confirmed by a higher average xG (1.91 vs 1.24). Leones Negros are showing very poor away form with only 27% away wins and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches, conceding 8 goals in the process. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -12, which, combined with 64% losses in away matches, makes them the clear underdog in this clash. Considering all statistics, CA La Paz has a real chance of securing a victory in front of their home crowd, though the hosts' weak defense (35 conceded goals) might open the door for a draw.
CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz played Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
CA La Paz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 1.65 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 60%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 52%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 65%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.55. CA La Paz: 13.8 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.4.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.70. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (9 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz is showing solid form in the last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, giving them 1.6 points per match. The hosts possess a significant advantage in possession (55% vs 46%) and shots on target (6.89 vs 3.36), translating to a greater offensive advantage confirmed by a higher average xG (1.91 vs 1.24). Leones Negros are showing very poor away form with only 27% away wins and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches, conceding 8 goals in the process. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -12, which, combined with 64% losses in away matches, makes them the clear underdog in this clash. Considering all statistics, CA La Paz has a real chance of securing a victory in front of their home crowd, though the hosts' weak defense (35 conceded goals) might open the door for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - CA La Paz · 0.6 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.26 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.48 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
CA La Paz scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.13 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Oscar Eduardo Villa DomínguezOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Óscar Gil VázquezOff: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Sergio Hernandez
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Olaf González Manzano
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CA La Paz 1 - 0 - 0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 3:0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
CA La Paz score 1.65 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.26. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are CA La Paz and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.