CA La Paz vs Tapatío: match statistics
CA La Paz enters this fixture as the favorite despite inconsistent form. The hosts hold the advantage in average goals scored at home (1.71 vs 0.86 for the visitors away) and a superior xG (1.81 vs 1.22). Key assets for La Paz include possession dominance (53% vs 47%) and significantly better shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Tapatío struggles heavily on the road, with only a 14% win rate and failing to score in 43% of away matches. While the hosts' defense is porous (averaging 2.29 goals conceded), potentially leading to an open game, the xG metrics and overall offensive superiority point towards a CA La Paz victory. A draw remains a viable option given the instability of both sides and their similar goal difference over the last five matches.
CA La Paz vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz play Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
CA La Paz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Tapatío: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 1.60 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 60%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 57%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.43. CA La Paz: 13.5 shots per match, Tapatío: 12.3.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.70. Tapatío: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (13 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
CA La Paz enters this fixture as the favorite despite inconsistent form. The hosts hold the advantage in average goals scored at home (1.71 vs 0.86 for the visitors away) and a superior xG (1.81 vs 1.22). Key assets for La Paz include possession dominance (53% vs 47%) and significantly better shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Tapatío struggles heavily on the road, with only a 14% win rate and failing to score in 43% of away matches. While the hosts' defense is porous (averaging 2.29 goals conceded), potentially leading to an open game, the xG metrics and overall offensive superiority point towards a CA La Paz victory. A draw remains a viable option given the instability of both sides and their similar goal difference over the last five matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tapatío is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - CA La Paz · 0.8 pts / match - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CA La Paz
Over / Under — Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CA La Paz 0 - 0 - 1 Tapatío. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 2:2 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
CA La Paz score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.63. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are CA La Paz and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Tapatío 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Tapatío: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.