Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 12 September 2026

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: match statistics

CA La Paz crest
CA La Paz
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Tlaxcala crest
Tlaxcala
155%(2.08)
X25%(3.30)
220%(2.87)

CA La Paz shows solid home form with 40% wins at home and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals per home game with an xG of 2.0, indicating offensive efficiency. Tlaxcala has very poor away results - only 10% wins, a negative goal difference of -16, and as many as 60% losses in away matches. The visitors score only 0.8 goals on average away with an xG of 1.49, and their away form (lldwldllld) is concerning. Despite Tlaxcala winning more often in the last 5 matches overall, their drastic weakness away gives CA La Paz a real advantage. xG statistics (2.0 vs 1.46 for the hosts, 1.49 vs 1.42 for the visitors) and the advantage in shots on target accuracy (7.6 vs 3.8) speak in favor of a CA La Paz victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to 30% of such results for the hosts.

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CA La Paz played Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

CA La Paz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tlaxcala: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CA La Paz scores 1.71 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.19 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CA La Paz 57%, Tlaxcala 57%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 67%, Tlaxcala 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.64. CA La Paz: 14.1 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 13.6.

Match halves

CA La Paz: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

CA La Paz: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CA La Paz shows solid home form with 40% wins at home and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals per home game with an xG of 2.0, indicating offensive efficiency. Tlaxcala has very poor away results - only 10% wins, a negative goal difference of -16, and as many as 60% losses in away matches. The visitors score only 0.8 goals on average away with an xG of 1.49, and their away form (lldwldllld) is concerning. Despite Tlaxcala winning more often in the last 5 matches overall, their drastic weakness away gives CA La Paz a real advantage. xG statistics (2.0 vs 1.46 for the hosts, 1.49 vs 1.42 for the visitors) and the advantage in shots on target accuracy (7.6 vs 3.8) speak in favor of a CA La Paz victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to 30% of such results for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
CA La PazTlaxcala
15Shots8
CA La PazTlaxcala
5Shots on target1
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.62xG0.73
CA La PazTlaxcala
7Corners1
CA La PazTlaxcala
45Dangerous attacks22
CA La PazTlaxcala
22Fouls12
CA La PazTlaxcala
2Cards4
CA La PazTlaxcala

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.71Goals scored / match1.19
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.67Goals conceded / match1.71
CA La PazTlaxcala
54%Average possession52%
CA La PazTlaxcala
5.76Shots on target / match4.05
CA La PazTlaxcala

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.14Shots per match13.57
CA La PazTlaxcala
5.76Shots on target4.05
CA La PazTlaxcala
12.1%Shot conversion8.8%
CA La PazTlaxcala
54%Possession52%
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.67xG for1.64
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.68xG against1.48
CA La PazTlaxcala

Shooting quality

CA La Paz: AttackingTlaxcala: Balanced
CA La PazTlaxcala
Accuracy (shots on target)41%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tlaxcala is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - CA La Paz · 2 pts / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz
DWDLW
Season result split
33% W38% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Tlaxcala
WLWDW
Season result split
33% W29% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-8
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.19 goals / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

Tlaxcala scoring profile: strong

Tlaxcala scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

36Goals scored (season)25
CA La PazTlaxcala
35Goals conceded (season)36
CA La PazTlaxcala
3.38Average goals in match2.9
CA La PazTlaxcala
6Goals scored (last 5)9
CA La PazTlaxcala
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
CA La PazTlaxcala

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal71%
CA La PazTlaxcala
57%2 goals29%
CA La PazTlaxcala
33%3 goals10%
CA La PazTlaxcala
0%4 goals5%
CA La PazTlaxcala

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal81%
CA La PazTlaxcala
52%2 goals48%
CA La PazTlaxcala
24%3 goals29%
CA La PazTlaxcala
10%4 goals10%
CA La PazTlaxcala

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time19%
CA La PazTlaxcala
19%BTTS in both halves5%
CA La PazTlaxcala
33%Scored in both halves19%
CA La PazTlaxcala

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
CA La PazTlaxcala
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
CA La PazTlaxcala
20%BTTS - last 560%
CA La PazTlaxcala

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
CA La PazTlaxcala
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
CA La PazTlaxcala
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
CA La PazTlaxcala

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
CA La PazTlaxcala
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
CA La PazTlaxcala
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
CA La PazTlaxcala

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.29 pts / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz - half-time state
38% leading29% draw33% trailing
Tlaxcala - half-time state
33% leading29% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.29
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.62
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.81Average goals (1st half)1.33
CA La PazTlaxcala
48%Clean sheet before half-time52%
CA La PazTlaxcala
38%No goal before half-time57%
CA La PazTlaxcala

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.05
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.57
CA La PazTlaxcala
43%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CA La PazTlaxcala
48%No goal after half-time52%
CA La PazTlaxcala

CA La Paz - second-half results

29% W48% D24% L
30
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding87%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tlaxcala - second-half results

24% W33% D43% L
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.21.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match2.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
9
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
5
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
0
4
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+91%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CA La PazLigaTlaxcala
Average goals in match 3.382.91 2.90
Both teams scored 57%55% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%54% 57%
Clean sheets 29%27% 19%
Goal before half-time 81%72% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%80% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CA La PazYellow cardDaniel Álvarez López
  2. TlaxcalaYellow cardPablo González Díaz
  3. CA La PazYellow cardOscar Manuel Millán Garduño
  4. TlaxcalaYellow cardIsmael Govea Solorzano
  5. TlaxcalaSubstitutionOn: Diego Martínez García de CarellanOff: Ernesto Paul Castillo Vargas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jaime Orlando Montes SantosMatches officiated: 11
6Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 245%Home wins55%Draws0%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CA La Paz 0 - 1 - 0 Tlaxcala. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Tlaxcala FC
3 : 3
Club Atlético La Paz

FAQ

What was the result of CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 2:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz score 1.71 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.19. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CA La Paz's matches and 57% of Tlaxcala's.

What form are CA La Paz and Tlaxcala in?

Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.