CA La Paz vs Venados: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly balanced and hard to predict. CA La Paz has a better home record with 25% wins and only 13% clean sheets, but their home form is unstable. Venados exhibits poor away form with 75% losses and 0% draws on the road, which is alarming. However, both teams have a similar average of goals scored in their matches (1.75 per game) and a high average of goals in matches (4.0 for the hosts, 4.38 for the visitors), suggesting an open encounter. Considering the unstable form of both teams (CA La Paz: 1.6 PPG, Venados: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches) and the fact that the hosts have 38% draws at home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points. A high-scoring draw is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
CA La Paz vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz played Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
CA La Paz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Venados: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 1.76 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Venados scores 2.29 and concedes 2.29. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 65%, Venados 71%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 71%, Venados 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.50. CA La Paz: 13.9 shots per match, Venados: 12.9.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.65. Venados: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (9 goals). Venados: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly balanced and hard to predict. CA La Paz has a better home record with 25% wins and only 13% clean sheets, but their home form is unstable. Venados exhibits poor away form with 75% losses and 0% draws on the road, which is alarming. However, both teams have a similar average of goals scored in their matches (1.75 per game) and a high average of goals in matches (4.0 for the hosts, 4.38 for the visitors), suggesting an open encounter. Considering the unstable form of both teams (CA La Paz: 1.6 PPG, Venados: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches) and the fact that the hosts have 38% draws at home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points. A high-scoring draw is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.4 pts / match - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - CA La Paz · 2.29 goals / match - Venados
CA La Paz is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - CA La Paz · 2.29 goals / match - Venados
CA La Paz scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
Venados scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.47 pts / match - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.65 | 2.93 | ▲ 4.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CA La Paz 0 - 1 - 0 Venados. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 1:0 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Venados?
CA La Paz score 1.76 goals per game on average and Venados 2.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of CA La Paz's matches and 71% of Venados's.
What form are CA La Paz and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Venados 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Venados?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.