Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II: match statistics

Celta de Vigo II are showing significantly more stable form: they remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Cádiz have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The visitors have scored 9 goals during this period—more than twice as many as Cádiz’s 4—while conceding only 5 compared with the hosts’ 9. Celta’s average of 1.8 points per game across their last five outings is three times higher than Cádiz’s 0.6. Another factor in the visitors’ favor is their higher league position: 8th compared with Cádiz’s 10th. Celta’s run of three consecutive draws does increase the likelihood of a share of the points, although their superior current attacking efficiency and defensive solidity point towards an away win.

Available season data is zero, so the greatest weight should be given to form from the last 5 matches. Cádiz scored only 4 goals during this period, averaging 0.8 per match, while their BTTS rate stood at 40%, indicating a genuine risk that the hosts may fail to score again. Celta de Vigo II averaged 1.8 goals and recorded BTTS in 80% of their last matches, but at the same time conceded only 1.0 goal per game. The hosts allowed their opponents an average of 1.8 goals, making an away goal highly likely; however, Cádiz’s weaker finishing reduces the chances of both teams scoring. The BTTS - Yes scenario cannot be ruled out, but it is more likely that at least one team—primarily Cádiz—will fail to score, making BTTS - No the more probable outcome.

Complete season data for both teams is unavailable, so the forecast is based primarily on their five most recent matches. Cádiz scored just 0.8 goals per game during this period, netting 4 goals in total, while also conceding 1.8 goals per match. Celta de Vigo II were more efficient, averaging 1.8 goals per game and conceding only 1.0, but matches involving both teams went Over 2.5 goals in just 40% of cases. The estimated total of 2.45 goals points to a realistic 1:1 or 1:2 scoreline, while the 3.5 line would require at least four goals. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, supported by a 77% probability and Cádiz’s limited attacking output.

Celta de Vigo II are in clearly superior current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Cádiz have scored just 0.8 and allowed 1.8 goals per game. The visitors have lost none of these matches, recording a 40% win rate and 60% draw rate, whereas the hosts have suffered defeat in 80% of their games. Celta’s advantage is particularly evident after the break, when they average 1.75 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded, while Cádiz average only 0.4 goals and lose the second half in 60% of cases. Although Celta did not lead at half-time during the period analysed, Cádiz were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches and have a negative first-half goal balance of -3. Therefore, the scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and go on to win remains the strongest single HT/FT outcome, 2/2.