Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas: match statistics
Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cádiz played UD Las Palmas in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Cádiz: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. UD Las Palmas: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cádiz scores 0.92 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. UD Las Palmas scores 1.31 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cádiz 44%, UD Las Palmas 50%. Over 2.5: Cádiz 50%, UD Las Palmas 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
UD Las Palmas has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.17. Cádiz: 10.2 shots per match, UD Las Palmas: 12.1.
Match halves
Cádiz: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53. UD Las Palmas: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Cádiz: 0-15 (8 goals). UD Las Palmas: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UD Las Palmas appears to be the favorite: the visitors have collected 9 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 losses), scoring 7 and conceding 6, while Cádiz have lost all 5 recent games, earning 0 points and scoring only 2 goals with 12 conceded. Over the season Las Palmas have 47 goals for and 30 against (goal difference +17), whereas Cádiz have 33 for and 51 against (GD -18), which clearly demonstrates the visitors' superiority in offensive effectiveness and defense. Quality-of-chance metrics show similar chance creation but with an edge in control for the visitors: Cadíz home xG is 1.39 with xG against 1.50, while Las Palmas away xG is 1.28 with xG against 1.33; additionally Las Palmas average 58% possession away compared to 49% for the home side. In terms of efficiency Cádiz score 0.94 goals per home match with 3.67 shots on target and a conversion rate of 8%, while Las Palmas average 1.00 goals away with 3.59 shots on target and a 9% conversion. Considering Cádiz’s 0 points in five matches, significantly worse goal differential (-18 vs +17) and less stable defense (12 goals conceded in the last 5 vs 6 for the visitors), I assess a higher probability of a UD Las Palmas victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The league has 55% of matches with BTTS; Cádiz records BTTS in 47% of home games, while UD Las Palmas does so in 53% of away games, giving a moderate edge toward both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Cádiz has scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game) and conceded 12 (2.4 per game), whereas Las Palmas has scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game), so the visitors are in better attacking form against the hosts’ recent defensive issues. xG analysis indicates expected goals for the home side around (1.43 + 1.33)/2 = 1.38 and for the visitors around (1.28 + 1.03)/2 = 1.16, which suggests both sides have realistic chances of scoring at least once. Against this, Cádiz averages 1.58 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.63 per season and keeps a clean sheet in 42% of matches, which reduces BTTS probability, but these season figures are weakened by a run of 5 defeats. Summing league 55% BTTS, season 47%/53% for the teams, plus xG 1.38 vs 1.16 and recent form, I assign a 62% probability to the 'both teams to score' scenario and pick 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A combined xG-based approach yields an expected 1.38 goals for Cádiz (attacking xG 1.43 vs Las Palmas defensive xG 1.33) and 1.16 for UD Las Palmas (attacking xG 1.28 vs Cádiz defensive xG 1.03), totaling 2.54 expected goals. Season metrics show both teams frequently exceed the 1.5 line: Cádiz in 68% of matches, Las Palmas in 65%, and the league averages 2.62 goals per match, all supporting a >1.5 scenario. The home side averages 4.79 shots on target with a 12% conversion rate, the visitors 3.59 shots on target with a 9% conversion; additionally BTTS occurs for the home team 47% and the away team 53%, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. The last 5 matches show Cádiz scoring 2 and conceding 12 (2.4 conceded per game and 5 defeats), while Las Palmas scored 7 in that period (1.4 per game), which further favors the over. A Poisson model with lambda=2.54 gives roughly a 72% chance of >1.5 goals, ~47% for >2.5 and ~25% for >3.5; the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is therefore Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Cádiz: average goals scored 1.58 versus 1.00 for UD Las Palmas and average points at home 2.00 pts/match versus 1.29 pts/match for the visitors. Cádiz led at the break in 53% of matches and scores on average 0.95 goals by half-time versus 0.35 for Las Palmas, which strongly supports the home side leading after 45 minutes. Additionally, the hosts have higher xG (1.43 vs 1.28), concede less xG (1.03 vs 1.33), record more shots on target (4.79 vs 3.59) and better conversion (12% vs 9%), so they have the chance quality to maintain the lead. However, one must account for Cádiz’s poor form in the last 5 matches (form_l5 'lllll', 0% wins in the last 5) and the fact that Las Palmas have 60% wins in their last 5, which increases the risk of a draw or a turnaround after the break. Overall the strongest scenario is Cádiz leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1), therefore this variant is assigned the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cádiz | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Las Palmas is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Cádiz · 1.31 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
UD Las Palmas is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Cádiz · 0.83 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
Cádiz scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while UD Las Palmas keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
UD Las Palmas scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Cádiz keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cádiz
Over / Under - UD Las Palmas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Las Palmas is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Cádiz · 1.58 pts / match - UD Las Palmas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cádiz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UD Las Palmas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cádiz
UD Las Palmas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Cádiz | Liga | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cádiz 0 - 0 - 1 UD Las Palmas. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas?
The Segunda División match finished Cádiz 1:2 UD Las Palmas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas?
Cádiz score 0.92 goals per game on average and UD Las Palmas 1.31. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Cádiz's matches and 50% of UD Las Palmas's.
What form are Cádiz and UD Las Palmas in?
Over the last 5 games Cádiz have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and UD Las Palmas 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cádiz vs UD Las Palmas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


