Caen vs Châteauroux: match statistics
Caen presents solid home form with 73% clean sheets and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.8 points per game. Châteauroux stands out with a high percentage of draws on the road (60%), suggesting a defensive approach and difficulties in scoring (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.47 vs 1.04), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (45% FTS) constitutes a significant warning. Châteauroux possesses better shot conversion (14% vs 7%), which may balance the difference in the quality of chances created. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and Caen's unstable form, I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw remains a very likely scenario.
Caen vs Châteauroux: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caen played Châteauroux in National (France). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Caen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Châteauroux: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caen scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Châteauroux scores 0.95 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caen 59%, Châteauroux 52%. Over 2.5: Caen 41%, Châteauroux 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Caen has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.15. Caen: 11.1 shots per match, Châteauroux: 9.4.
Match halves
Caen: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64. Châteauroux: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Caen: 31-45+ (7 goals). Châteauroux: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caen presents solid home form with 73% clean sheets and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.8 points per game. Châteauroux stands out with a high percentage of draws on the road (60%), suggesting a defensive approach and difficulties in scoring (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.47 vs 1.04), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (45% FTS) constitutes a significant warning. Châteauroux possesses better shot conversion (14% vs 7%), which may balance the difference in the quality of chances created. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and Caen's unstable form, I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw remains a very likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caen | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Caen · 0.4 pts / match - Châteauroux
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Caen · 0.95 goals / match - Châteauroux
Caen is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Caen · 1.29 goals / match - Châteauroux
Caen scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Châteauroux scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caen
Over / Under - Châteauroux
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Caen · 1.14 pts / match - Châteauroux
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caen
Châteauroux
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Caen | Liga | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.27 | 2.36 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Caen 0 - 0 - 1 Châteauroux. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caen vs Châteauroux?
The National match finished Caen 1:2 Châteauroux. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Caen vs Châteauroux?
Caen score 1.14 goals per game on average and Châteauroux 0.95. The National average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Caen's matches and 52% of Châteauroux's.
What form are Caen and Châteauroux in?
Over the last 5 games Caen have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Châteauroux 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caen vs Châteauroux?
The statistical background for Caen vs Châteauroux — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.