France - NationalStade Michel d'OrnanoData current as of 15 October 2026

Caen vs La Roche VF: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Caen vs La Roche VF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caen play La Roche VF in National (France). The match date is 15 October 2026. Venue: Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Current form

Caen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. La Roche VF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caen scores 1.89 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. La Roche VF scores 1.67 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caen 33%, La Roche VF 67%. Over 2.5: Caen 44%, La Roche VF 44%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Caen has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.34. Caen: 11.9 shots per match, La Roche VF: 11.3.

Match halves

Caen: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.78. La Roche VF: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.22.

Goals by minute

Caen: 0-15 (4 goals). La Roche VF: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.09)
(3.40)
(3.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.89Goals scored / match1.67
CaenLa Roche VF
1.33Goals conceded / match0.89
CaenLa Roche VF
67%Average possession59%
CaenLa Roche VF
5Shots on target / match5.33
CaenLa Roche VF

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.89Shots per match11.33
CaenLa Roche VF
5Shots on target5.33
CaenLa Roche VF
15.9%Shot conversion14.7%
CaenLa Roche VF
67%Possession59%
CaenLa Roche VF
1.5xG for1.34
CaenLa Roche VF
1.18xG against1.17
CaenLa Roche VF

Shooting quality

Caen: Efficient finishingLa Roche VF: Efficient finishing
CaenLa Roche VF
Accuracy (shots on target)42%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

La Roche VF is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Caen · 2.2 pts / match - La Roche VF

Caen
WWLWL
Season result split
56% W0% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
La Roche VF
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caen is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.89 goals / match - Caen · 1.67 goals / match - La Roche VF

La Roche VF is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Caen · 0.89 goals / match - La Roche VF

Caen scoring profile: very strong

Caen scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while La Roche VF keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

La Roche VF scoring profile: very strong

La Roche VF scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

17Goals scored (season)15
CaenLa Roche VF
12Goals conceded (season)8
CaenLa Roche VF
3.22Average goals in match2.56
CaenLa Roche VF
9Goals scored (last 5)9
CaenLa Roche VF
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
CaenLa Roche VF

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
CaenLa Roche VF
67%2 goals44%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%3 goals33%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%4 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%2 goals22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%3 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%4 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%BTTS in both halves22%
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Scored in both halves22%
CaenLa Roche VF

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CaenLa Roche VF
40%BTTS - last 580%
CaenLa Roche VF

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CaenLa Roche VF

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
CaenLa Roche VF

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caen is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Caen · 1.22 pts / match - La Roche VF

Caen - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing
La Roche VF - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.22
CaenLa Roche VF
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
1.56Average goals (1st half)0.89
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%No goal before half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)2.22
CaenLa Roche VF
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)1.22
CaenLa Roche VF
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.67
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%No goal after half-time33%
CaenLa Roche VF

Caen - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

La Roche VF - second-half results

67% W22% D11% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding305%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Caen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
La Roche VF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caen
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

La Roche VF
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
7
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

La Roche VF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

CaenLigaLa Roche VF
Average goals in match▲ 3.222.38▲ 2.56
Both teams scored▼ 33%44%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%40%▲ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 44%33%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%73%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%72%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Caen and La Roche VF play?

Caen face La Roche VF on 15 October 2026 in National at Stade Michel d'Ornano. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Caen vs La Roche VF?

Caen score 1.89 goals per game on average and La Roche VF 1.67. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Caen's matches and 67% of La Roche VF's.

What form are Caen and La Roche VF in?

Over the last 5 games Caen have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and La Roche VF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caen vs La Roche VF?

The statistical background for Caen vs La Roche VF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.