Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Caernarfon Town has been performing significantly better in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), while Barry Town United is in a clear slump with four defeats in their last five outings (0.6 points per game). The hosts hold a home advantage, scoring an average of 2.09 goals with a 16% conversion rate and a higher xG (1.66 vs 1.23 for the visitors away). Barry Town United has poor away form with only a 25% win rate and 33% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against the solid offense of the hosts, could be crucial. The difference in goal difference (+5 for the hosts at home vs -4 for the visitors away) and the current form point to a Caernarfon Town victory. Nevertheless, the history of mutual draws and relatively close average xG suggests that a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caernarfon Town played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Caernarfon Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Barry Town United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caernarfon Town scores 1.88 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.38 and concedes 1.13. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caernarfon Town 71%, Barry Town United 46%. Over 2.5: Caernarfon Town 58%, Barry Town United 46%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.35. Caernarfon Town: 12.7 shots per match, Barry Town United: 10.4.
Match halves
Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.29. Barry Town United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (12 goals). Barry Town United: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town has been performing significantly better in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), while Barry Town United is in a clear slump with four defeats in their last five outings (0.6 points per game). The hosts hold a home advantage, scoring an average of 2.09 goals with a 16% conversion rate and a higher xG (1.66 vs 1.23 for the visitors away). Barry Town United has poor away form with only a 25% win rate and 33% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against the solid offense of the hosts, could be crucial. The difference in goal difference (+5 for the hosts at home vs -4 for the visitors away) and the current form point to a Caernarfon Town victory. Nevertheless, the history of mutual draws and relatively close average xG suggests that a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caernarfon Town | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 0.6 pts / match - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 goals / match - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.13 goals / match - Barry Town United
Caernarfon Town scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Barry Town United scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barry Town United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 pts / match - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Caernarfon Town | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Caernarfon Town 1 - 1 - 0 Barry Town United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 0:2 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 1, Barry Town United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town score 1.88 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 46% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Barry Town United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.