Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueThe OvalData current as of 19 October 2026

Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caernarfon Town play Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: The Oval.

Current form

Caernarfon Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Briton Ferry: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caernarfon Town scores 2.85 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 0.92 and concedes 1.69. League average: 3.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caernarfon Town 62%, Briton Ferry 62%. Over 2.5: Caernarfon Town 77%, Briton Ferry 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.52. Caernarfon Town: 15.5 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 12.3.

Match halves

Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.62. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Caernarfon Town: 61-75 (8 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.29)
(5.20)
(8.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
2.85Goals scored / match0.92
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.15Goals conceded / match1.69
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
61%Average possession50%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6.85Shots on target / match3.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.46Shots per match12.31
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6.85Shots on target3.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
18.4%Shot conversion7.5%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
61%Possession50%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.82xG for1.52
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.19xG against1.61
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Caernarfon Town: DominantBriton Ferry: Balanced
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)44%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Caernarfon Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town
DWDLW
Season result split
62% W15% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.13Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Briton Ferry
LDDWL
Season result split
23% W23% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-7
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caernarfon Town is 210% better for: goals scored per match.

2.85 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 0.92 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.69 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: very strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: very strong

Briton Ferry scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

37Goals scored (season)12
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15Goals conceded (season)22
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
4Average goals in match2.62
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
14Goals scored (last 5)6
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal77%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
77%2 goals15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
38%3 goals0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%4 goals0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%2 goals46%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15%3 goals31%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0%4 goals8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15%BTTS in both halves0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
54%Scored in both halves15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
80%BTTS - last 580%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caernarfon Town is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.85 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town - half-time state
62% leading0% draw38% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.85Points per match (1st half)1.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.23Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.92Average goals (1st half)1.23
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
46%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%No goal before half-time46%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.85Points per match (2nd half)0.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
2.08Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
62%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%No goal after half-time62%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

46% W46% D8% L
24
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

23% W15% D62% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Caernarfon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
8
3
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
7
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Caernarfon TownLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match▲ 4.003.29▼ 2.62
Both teams scored▲ 62%52%▲ 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%61%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▲ 31%25%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%79%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%85%• 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Caernarfon Town 2 - 0 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Caernarfon Town FC
4 : 1
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
2 : 5
Caernarfon Town FC

FAQ

When do Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry play?

Caernarfon Town face Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026 in Welsh Premier League at The Oval. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 2, Briton Ferry won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Caernarfon Town score 2.85 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 0.92. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 62% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.