Italy - Serie ASardegna ArenaData current as of 30 August 2026

Cagliari vs Inter Milan: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cagliari vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cagliari play Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Sardegna Arena.

Current form

Cagliari: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Inter Milan: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cagliari scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Inter Milan scores 4.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cagliari 0%, Inter Milan 100%. Over 2.5: Cagliari 0%, Inter Milan 100%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Cagliari has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.45. Cagliari: 14.0 shots per match, Inter Milan: 13.0.

Match halves

Cagliari: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Inter Milan: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 3.00.

Goals by minute

Cagliari: 76-90+ (1 goals). Inter Milan: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(7.50)
(4.30)
(1.43)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match4
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals conceded / match1
CagliariInter Milan
53%Average possession70%
CagliariInter Milan
5Shots on target / match5
CagliariInter Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match13
CagliariInter Milan
5Shots on target5
CagliariInter Milan
7.1%Shot conversion30.8%
CagliariInter Milan
53%Possession70%
CagliariInter Milan
1.56xG for1.45
CagliariInter Milan
1.2xG against0.85
CagliariInter Milan

Shooting quality

Cagliari: AttackingInter Milan: Efficient finishing
CagliariInter Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.80

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cagliari
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Inter Milan
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 300% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Cagliari · 4 goals / match - Inter Milan

Cagliari scoring profile: very strong

Cagliari scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Inter Milan scoring profile: mixed

Inter Milan scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

1Goals scored (season)4
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals conceded (season)1
CagliariInter Milan
1Average goals in match5
CagliariInter Milan
1Goals scored (last 5)4
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals conceded (last 5)1
CagliariInter Milan

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%2 goals100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%3 goals100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%4 goals100%
CagliariInter Milan

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%2 goals0%
CagliariInter Milan
0%3 goals0%
CagliariInter Milan
0%4 goals0%
CagliariInter Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Scored in both halves100%
CagliariInter Milan

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CagliariInter Milan
0%BTTS - last 5100%
CagliariInter Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CagliariInter Milan

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cagliari - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Inter Milan - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals scored (1st half)1
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals conceded (1st half)1
CagliariInter Milan
0Average goals (1st half)2
CagliariInter Milan
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
CagliariInter Milan
100%No goal before half-time0%
CagliariInter Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)3
CagliariInter Milan
1Goals scored (2nd half)3
CagliariInter Milan
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
CagliariInter Milan
1Average goals (2nd half)3
CagliariInter Milan
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
CagliariInter Milan
0%No goal after half-time0%
CagliariInter Milan

Cagliari - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inter Milan - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cagliari - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.003.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.01.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Inter Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.003.00
Goals scored / match1.03.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match2.03.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 100% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.64
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+2.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
315%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CagliariLigaInter Milan
Average goals in match 1.002.60 5.00
Both teams scored 0%40% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%47% 100%
Clean sheets 100%30% 0%
Goal before half-time 0%53% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%93% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+-13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
93%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cagliari 0 - 0 - 2 Inter Milan. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Internazionale Milano
3 : 0
Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio
0 : 2
FC Internazionale Milano

FAQ

When do Cagliari and Inter Milan play?

Cagliari face Inter Milan on 30 August 2026 in Serie A at Sardegna Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Inter Milan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0, Inter Milan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cagliari vs Inter Milan?

Cagliari score 1.00 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 4.00. The Serie A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Cagliari's matches and 100% of Inter Milan's.

What form are Cagliari and Inter Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Cagliari have a 1-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cagliari vs Inter Milan?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.