Cagliari vs Lecce: match statistics
Cagliari is in significantly better form than Lecce, having collected 9 points in their last 5 matches compared to the visitors' mere 4 points. The hosts have an advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.36 goals per home game, while Lecce manages only 0.55 goals per away match and fails to score in as many as 55% of their away fixtures. Lecce's goal difference on the road stands at -9, and their 64% loss rate in away matches confirms the team's weakness outside their own stadium. Cagliari additionally holds an edge in possession (47% vs 41%) and boasts better shot conversion (14% vs 6%). Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites in this encounter, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the relatively balanced defenses of both sides.
Cagliari vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cagliari played Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 16 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cagliari: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Lecce: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cagliari scores 1.17 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Lecce scores 0.63 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cagliari 50%, Lecce 33%. Over 2.5: Cagliari 50%, Lecce 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Lecce has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.08. Cagliari: 9.9 shots per match, Lecce: 10.2.
Match halves
Cagliari: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75. Lecce: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Cagliari: 31-45+ (8 goals). Lecce: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cagliari is in significantly better form than Lecce, having collected 9 points in their last 5 matches compared to the visitors' mere 4 points. The hosts have an advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.36 goals per home game, while Lecce manages only 0.55 goals per away match and fails to score in as many as 55% of their away fixtures. Lecce's goal difference on the road stands at -9, and their 64% loss rate in away matches confirms the team's weakness outside their own stadium. Cagliari additionally holds an edge in possession (47% vs 41%) and boasts better shot conversion (14% vs 6%). Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites in this encounter, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the relatively balanced defenses of both sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cagliari | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cagliari is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cagliari · 0.8 pts / match - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cagliari is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Cagliari · 0.63 goals / match - Lecce
Lecce is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Cagliari · 1.29 goals / match - Lecce
Cagliari scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Lecce scores in 46% of matches (11 of 24 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cagliari
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Cagliari · 1.17 pts / match - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cagliari
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cagliari | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.54 | 2.44 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cagliari 1 - 0 - 0 Lecce. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cagliari vs Lecce?
The Serie A match finished Cagliari 0:2 Lecce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cagliari vs Lecce?
Cagliari score 1.17 goals per game on average and Lecce 0.63. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cagliari's matches and 33% of Lecce's.
What form are Cagliari and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games Cagliari have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Lecce 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cagliari vs Lecce?
The statistical background for Cagliari vs Lecce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.