Calcio Padova vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Calcio Padova holds a clear advantage as the home side in this encounter. Although both teams share identical form over their last five matches (0.8 points per game), Padova performs significantly better at their own ground with 25% wins and only 33% losses, whereas Bari wins a mere 8% of their away fixtures while suffering 58% defeats. The key factor is offensive efficiency – the hosts average 1.17 goals scored at home, compared to the visitors' mere 0.67 away, a disparity further supported by the xG difference (1.27 vs 0.95). Bari has serious issues scoring on the road (FTS% 50%) and possesses a weak defense (conceding an average of 1.83 goals per away match). The away side's goal difference on their travels stands at -14, which is an alarming indicator. Padova should leverage their home advantage to secure three valuable points, though the poor form of both squads could result in a draw.
Calcio Padova vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calcio Padova played Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Calcio Padova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bari 1908: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 0.80 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calcio Padova 52%, Bari 1908 56%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 40%, Bari 1908 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Calcio Padova has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.10. Calcio Padova: 10.9 shots per match, Bari 1908: 10.4.
Match halves
Calcio Padova: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.64. Bari 1908: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Calcio Padova holds a clear advantage as the home side in this encounter. Although both teams share identical form over their last five matches (0.8 points per game), Padova performs significantly better at their own ground with 25% wins and only 33% losses, whereas Bari wins a mere 8% of their away fixtures while suffering 58% defeats. The key factor is offensive efficiency – the hosts average 1.17 goals scored at home, compared to the visitors' mere 0.67 away, a disparity further supported by the xG difference (1.27 vs 0.95). Bari has serious issues scoring on the road (FTS% 50%) and possesses a weak defense (conceding an average of 1.83 goals per away match). The away side's goal difference on their travels stands at -14, which is an alarming indicator. Padova should leverage their home advantage to secure three valuable points, though the poor form of both squads could result in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Calcio Padova is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.8 goals / match - Bari 1908
Calcio Padova is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.52 goals / match - Bari 1908
Calcio Padova scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Bari 1908 scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Calcio Padova is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 0.8 pts / match - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calcio Padova
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calcio Padova 0 - 0 - 1 Bari 1908. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Bari 1908?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 1:1 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Bari 1908?
Calcio Padova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.80. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Calcio Padova's matches and 56% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bari 1908 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Bari 1908?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.