Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Catanzaro presents a significantly better form, securing 11 points in their last 5 matches (2.2 PPG) compared to just 5 points for Padova (1 PPG). The visitors sit 5th in the table with 13 wins, while the hosts are in 10th position with only 8 wins this season. Padova shows poor efficiency in home matches - a mere 21% win rate and a massive 50% draw rate, which, combined with a negative home goal difference (-1), does not inspire optimism. Catanzaro boasts better shooting efficiency (12% conversion vs Padova's 10%) and higher ball possession (54% vs 50%), which should translate into match control. The visitors' form in their last 5 away matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and a positive away goal difference (+1) strongly advocate for a Catanzaro victory.
Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calcio Padova played Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Calcio Padova: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Catanzaro: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calcio Padova scores 1.03 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Catanzaro scores 1.55 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calcio Padova 55%, Catanzaro 59%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 41%, Catanzaro 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Catanzaro has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.19. Calcio Padova: 10.8 shots per match, Catanzaro: 13.1.
Match halves
Calcio Padova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.59. Catanzaro: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (8 goals). Catanzaro: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catanzaro presents a significantly better form, securing 11 points in their last 5 matches (2.2 PPG) compared to just 5 points for Padova (1 PPG). The visitors sit 5th in the table with 13 wins, while the hosts are in 10th position with only 8 wins this season. Padova shows poor efficiency in home matches - a mere 21% win rate and a massive 50% draw rate, which, combined with a negative home goal difference (-1), does not inspire optimism. Catanzaro boasts better shooting efficiency (12% conversion vs Padova's 10%) and higher ball possession (54% vs 50%), which should translate into match control. The visitors' form in their last 5 away matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and a positive away goal difference (+1) strongly advocate for a Catanzaro victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catanzaro is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 2.2 pts / match - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.55 goals / match - Catanzaro
Catanzaro is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.17 goals / match - Catanzaro
Calcio Padova scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Catanzaro scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catanzaro is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.34 pts / match - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calcio Padova
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calcio Padova 1 - 0 - 0 Catanzaro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 1:3 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro?
Calcio Padova score 1.03 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.55. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Calcio Padova's matches and 59% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Catanzaro 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro?
The statistical background for Calcio Padova vs Catanzaro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.