Calcio Padova vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calcio Padova played Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 8 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Calcio Padova: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cesena: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calcio Padova scores 0.93 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.43 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calcio Padova 50%, Cesena 64%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 36%, Cesena 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Cesena has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.18. Calcio Padova: 10.5 shots per match, Cesena: 12.1.

Match halves

Calcio Padova: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.57. Cesena: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Calcio Padova: 46-60 (4 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Calcio PadovaCesena
8Shots15
Calcio PadovaCesena
3Shots on target4
Calcio PadovaCesena
0.87xG1.52
Calcio PadovaCesena
2Corners4
Calcio PadovaCesena
19Dangerous attacks40
Calcio PadovaCesena
8Fouls17
Calcio PadovaCesena
3Cards4
Calcio PadovaCesena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Calcio PadovaCesena
0.93Goals scored / match1.43
Calcio PadovaCesena
1.14Goals conceded / match1
Calcio PadovaCesena
47%Average possession47%
Calcio PadovaCesena
3.86Shots on target / match3.36
Calcio PadovaCesena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match12.07
Calcio PadovaCesena
3.86Shots on target3.36
Calcio PadovaCesena
8.8%Shot conversion11.8%
Calcio PadovaCesena
47%Possession47%
Calcio PadovaCesena
1.18xG for1.34
Calcio PadovaCesena
1.62xG against1.35
Calcio PadovaCesena

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedCesena: Balanced
Calcio PadovaCesena
Accuracy (shots on target)37%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cesena is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.8 pts / match - Cesena

Calcio Padova
DDLLW
Season result split
29% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-5
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Cesena
WLWLW
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-4
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cesena is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.43 goals / match - Cesena

Cesena is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1 goals / match - Cesena

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).

Cesena scoring profile: very strong

Cesena scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

13Goals scored (season)20
Calcio PadovaCesena
16Goals conceded (season)14
Calcio PadovaCesena
2.07Average goals in match2.43
Calcio PadovaCesena
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Calcio PadovaCesena
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Calcio PadovaCesena

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
Calcio PadovaCesena
21%2 goals43%
Calcio PadovaCesena
0%3 goals14%
Calcio PadovaCesena
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCesena

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal79%
Calcio PadovaCesena
36%2 goals14%
Calcio PadovaCesena
7%3 goals7%
Calcio PadovaCesena
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCesena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
Calcio PadovaCesena
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaCesena
7%Scored in both halves29%
Calcio PadovaCesena

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Calcio PadovaCesena
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Calcio PadovaCesena
40%BTTS - last 520%
Calcio PadovaCesena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Calcio PadovaCesena
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Calcio PadovaCesena
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Calcio PadovaCesena

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Calcio PadovaCesena
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Calcio PadovaCesena
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Calcio PadovaCesena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cesena is 162% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.86 pts / match - Cesena

Calcio Padova - half-time state
7% leading50% draw43% trailing
Cesena - half-time state
50% leading36% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per match (1st half)1.86
Calcio PadovaCesena
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Calcio PadovaCesena
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Calcio PadovaCesena
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.14
Calcio PadovaCesena
43%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Calcio PadovaCesena
71%No goal before half-time36%
Calcio PadovaCesena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Calcio PadovaCesena
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Calcio PadovaCesena
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Calcio PadovaCesena
1Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Calcio PadovaCesena
64%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Calcio PadovaCesena
50%No goal after half-time50%
Calcio PadovaCesena

Calcio Padova - second-half results

36% W36% D29% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding414%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cesena - second-half results

21% W57% D21% L
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Cesena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
7
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
4
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
9
2
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaCesena
Average goals in match 2.072.55 2.43
Both teams scored 50%55% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%48% 57%
Clean sheets 29%27% 21%
Goal before half-time 64%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%74% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CesenaYellow cardMassimiliano Mangraviti
  2. Calcio PadovaYellow cardJonas Harder
  3. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Alessandro CapelliOff: Jonas Harder
  4. CesenaYellow cardMichele Castagnetti
  5. CesenaSubstitutionOn: Jalen Aleix Miller BlesaOff: Marco Olivieri
  6. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Alejandro Darío GómezOff: Cristian Buonaiuto
  7. CesenaSubstitutionOn: Tommaso BertiOff: Simone Bastoni
  8. Calcio PadovaYellow cardAntonio Barreca
  9. CesenaSubstitutionOn: Emanuele AdamoOff: Gianluca Frabotta
  10. CesenaGoalEmanuele AdamoAssist: Tommaso Berti
  11. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Kevin Varas MarcilloOff: Lorenzo Villa
  12. Calcio PadovaYellow cardPietro Fusi
  13. CesenaYellow cardMatteo Francesconi
  14. Calcio PadovaGoalKevin Varas MarcilloAssist: Lorenzo Crisetig
  15. CesenaYellow cardEmanuele Adamo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Andrea ZanottiMatches officiated: 14
3.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 228%Home wins50%Draws21%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Cesena?

The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 1:1 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Cesena?

Calcio Padova score 0.93 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.43. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Calcio Padova's matches and 64% of Cesena's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Cesena in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cesena 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Cesena?

The statistical background for Calcio Padova vs Cesena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.