Calcio Padova vs Modena: match statistics
Modena holds a distinct advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a significantly higher average xG (1.9 vs 1.18), evidencing superior quality in created scoring chances. On the road, Modena maintains a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheet rate, whereas Padova has failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor, but Modena's away goal difference (+4) significantly outperforms Padova's home record (-2). Padova has a mere 13% win rate at home alongside 63% draws, suggesting a defensive approach from the hosts. Considering all factors, Modena has a real chance of winning, although Padova's high percentage of home draws means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Calcio Padova vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calcio Padova played Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Calcio Padova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calcio Padova scores 0.94 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Modena scores 1.44 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calcio Padova 56%, Modena 50%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 33%, Modena 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.18. Calcio Padova: 10.4 shots per match, Modena: 16.8.
Match halves
Calcio Padova: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.61. Modena: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Calcio Padova: 46-60 (4 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena holds a distinct advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a significantly higher average xG (1.9 vs 1.18), evidencing superior quality in created scoring chances. On the road, Modena maintains a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheet rate, whereas Padova has failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor, but Modena's away goal difference (+4) significantly outperforms Padova's home record (-2). Padova has a mere 13% win rate at home alongside 63% draws, suggesting a defensive approach from the hosts. Considering all factors, Modena has a real chance of winning, although Padova's high percentage of home draws means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calcio Padova is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 0.6 pts / match - Modena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.44 goals / match - Modena
Modena is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.83 goals / match - Modena
Calcio Padova scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Modena scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Modena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.33 pts / match - Modena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calcio Padova
Modena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Modena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Modena?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 2:0 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Modena?
Calcio Padova score 0.94 goals per game on average and Modena 1.44. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's matches and 50% of Modena's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Modena in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Modena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calcio Padova vs Modena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.