Calcio Padova vs Spezia: match statistics
The match promises to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Calcio Padova sits in 10th place and holds home advantage, yet their recent home results are unstable (46% draws at their own stadium). Spezia is in 17th position with a very poor away record (54% losses), but recently shows signs of improvement. xG statistics are close for both teams (1.27 vs 1.30), suggesting similar offensive potential. Given the hosts' high propensity for draws at home and Spezia's difficulties in scoring away (38% of matches without a goal), the most probable scenario is a share of the points. The form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG) gives a slight edge to the hosts, but not large enough to confidently point to their victory.
Calcio Padova vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calcio Padova played Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Calcio Padova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calcio Padova scores 1.04 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Spezia scores 0.85 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calcio Padova 56%, Spezia 48%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 41%, Spezia 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Spezia has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.19. Calcio Padova: 10.7 shots per match, Spezia: 11.0.
Match halves
Calcio Padova: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.59. Spezia: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Calcio Padova sits in 10th place and holds home advantage, yet their recent home results are unstable (46% draws at their own stadium). Spezia is in 17th position with a very poor away record (54% losses), but recently shows signs of improvement. xG statistics are close for both teams (1.27 vs 1.30), suggesting similar offensive potential. Given the hosts' high propensity for draws at home and Spezia's difficulties in scoring away (38% of matches without a goal), the most probable scenario is a share of the points. The form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG) gives a slight edge to the hosts, but not large enough to confidently point to their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calcio Padova is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1 pts / match - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Calcio Padova is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.85 goals / match - Spezia
Calcio Padova is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.3 goals / match - Spezia
Calcio Padova scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Spezia scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calcio Padova
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calcio Padova 0 - 1 - 0 Spezia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 2:2 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
Calcio Padova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.85. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's matches and 48% of Spezia's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Spezia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.