Italy - Serie BData current as of 23 October 2026

Calcio Padova vs Südtirol: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Calcio Padova vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calcio Padova play Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Calcio Padova: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Südtirol: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calcio Padova scores 0.86 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Südtirol scores 1.29 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calcio Padova 57%, Südtirol 43%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 43%, Südtirol 29%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Calcio Padova has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.03. Calcio Padova: 11.1 shots per match, Südtirol: 9.9.

Match halves

Calcio Padova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29. Südtirol: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Calcio Padova: 16-30 (2 goals). Südtirol: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(3.20)
(3.07)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0.86Goals scored / match1.29
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
1.43Goals conceded / match0.86
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
44%Average possession49%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
3.14Shots on target / match3.14
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.14Shots per match9.86
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
3.14Shots on target3.14
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
7.7%Shot conversion13%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
44%Possession49%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
1.18xG for1.03
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
1.73xG against1.71
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedSüdtirol: Efficient finishing
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Südtirol is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.6 pts / match - Südtirol

Calcio Padova
LWLLL
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
DWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Südtirol
WDWDL
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Südtirol is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.86 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.29 goals / match - Südtirol

Südtirol is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.86 goals / match - Südtirol

Calcio Padova scoring profile: strong

Calcio Padova scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Südtirol scoring profile: strong

Südtirol scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

6Goals scored (season)9
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
10Goals conceded (season)6
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
2.29Average goals in match2.14
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
4Goals scored (last 5)7
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%2 goals29%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%3 goals14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%4 goals14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
57%2 goals14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
14%3 goals14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%Scored in both halves14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
60%BTTS - last 540%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Südtirol is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.43 pts / match - Südtirol

Calcio Padova - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
Südtirol - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.43
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.29
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
1.14Average goals (1st half)0.43
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
57%Clean sheet before half-time86%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
43%No goal before half-time71%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.57
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
29%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol
71%No goal after half-time43%
Calcio PadovaSüdtirol

Calcio Padova - second-half results

29% W0% D71% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Südtirol - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Südtirol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Südtirol
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Südtirol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaSüdtirol
Average goals in match▼ 2.292.73▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▼ 57%64%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%56%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▲ 29%20%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%66%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Calcio Padova 0 - 1 - 1 Südtirol. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Südtirol
3 : 0
Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova
1 : 1
Südtirol

FAQ

When do Calcio Padova and Südtirol play?

Calcio Padova face Südtirol on 27 October 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Calcio Padova and Südtirol?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Calcio Padova won 0, Südtirol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Südtirol?

Calcio Padova score 0.86 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Calcio Padova's matches and 43% of Südtirol's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Südtirol in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Südtirol 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Südtirol?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.