Italy - Serie BData current as of 16 October 2026

Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calcio Padova play Virtus Entella in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Calcio Padova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Virtus Entella: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calcio Padova scores 0.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Virtus Entella scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calcio Padova 50%, Virtus Entella 67%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 33%, Virtus Entella 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Virtus Entella has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.26. Calcio Padova: 12.0 shots per match, Virtus Entella: 14.7.

Match halves

Calcio Padova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Virtus Entella: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Calcio Padova: 61-75 (2 goals). Virtus Entella: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.42)
(3.10)
(2.93)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0.83Goals scored / match1.33
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
1.33Goals conceded / match1.17
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
44%Average possession52%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
3.5Shots on target / match3.5
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match14.67
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
3.5Shots on target3.5
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
6.9%Shot conversion9.1%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
44%Possession52%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
1.26xG for1.52
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
1.67xG against1.17
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedVirtus Entella: Attacking
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
Accuracy (shots on target)29%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Virtus Entella is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.2 pts / match - Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova
DLWLL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Virtus Entella
LDWDD
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Entella is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.33 goals / match - Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.17 goals / match - Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Virtus Entella keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Virtus Entella scoring profile: strong

Virtus Entella scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

5Goals scored (season)8
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
8Goals conceded (season)7
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
2.17Average goals in match2.5
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%2 goals33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%3 goals17%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%4 goals17%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
50%2 goals33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
17%3 goals0%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%Scored in both halves33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
60%BTTS - last 580%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Virtus Entella is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.17 pts / match - Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Virtus Entella - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.17
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.33
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
50%No goal before half-time50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.83
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
1Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella
67%No goal after half-time50%
Calcio PadovaVirtus Entella

Calcio Padova - second-half results

33% W0% D67% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Virtus Entella - second-half results

0% W83% D17% L
7
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Virtus Entella - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Entella
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Virtus Entella

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaVirtus Entella
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.68▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%62%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%53%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 33%22%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%63%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Calcio Padova 1 - 0 - 1 Virtus Entella. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Virtus Entella
1 : 0
Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova
2 : 1
Virtus Entella

FAQ

When do Calcio Padova and Virtus Entella play?

Calcio Padova face Virtus Entella on 17 October 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Calcio Padova and Virtus Entella?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Calcio Padova won 1, Virtus Entella won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella?

Calcio Padova score 0.83 goals per game on average and Virtus Entella 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Calcio Padova's matches and 67% of Virtus Entella's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Virtus Entella in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Virtus Entella 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.