Portugal - Liga 3Data current as of 13 September 2026

Caldas vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: match statistics

120%(3.05)
X25%(3.35)
255%(2.05)

Académica Coimbra displays decisively better form than Caldas, confirmed by recent results – the visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while the hosts have lost all of their last 5 games. Caldas shows weak effectiveness in home matches – only 25% wins and as many as 50% losses, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Académica presents solid play in away matches with 25% wins and 50% draws, scoring an average of 1.63 goals while conceding just 1.25. A significant advantage in shot conversion (19% vs 11%) and higher effectiveness in shots on target (4.63 vs 3.63) further favors the visitors. The goal difference of both teams (+3 for Académica away vs -3 for Caldas at home) and current form (0 points vs 2.2 points per game in the last 5 matches) indicate a clear advantage for the visitors.

Caldas vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caldas played Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Caldas: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caldas scores 0.94 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caldas 47%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 59%. Over 2.5: Caldas 41%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 35%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.23. Caldas: 8.9 shots per match, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 9.9.

Match halves

Caldas: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.65. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Caldas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Académica Coimbra displays decisively better form than Caldas, confirmed by recent results – the visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while the hosts have lost all of their last 5 games. Caldas shows weak effectiveness in home matches – only 25% wins and as many as 50% losses, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Académica presents solid play in away matches with 25% wins and 50% draws, scoring an average of 1.63 goals while conceding just 1.25. A significant advantage in shot conversion (19% vs 11%) and higher effectiveness in shots on target (4.63 vs 3.63) further favors the visitors. The goal difference of both teams (+3 for Académica away vs -3 for Caldas at home) and current form (0 points vs 2.2 points per game in the last 5 matches) indicate a clear advantage for the visitors.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
9Shots14
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
2Shots on target5
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.96xG1.59
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1Corners7
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
34Dangerous attacks49
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
15Fouls12
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0Cards1
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.94Goals scored / match1.71
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.35Goals conceded / match1
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
50%Average possession53%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3.24Shots on target / match4.53
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.88Shots per match9.94
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3.24Shots on target4.53
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
10.6%Shot conversion17.2%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
50%Possession53%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.23xG for1.39
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.18xG against1.01
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Shooting quality

Caldas: BalancedAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF: Efficient finishing
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Accuracy (shots on target)36%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Caldas
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W18% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W41% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-3
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-2
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 82% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Caldas · 1.71 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Caldas · 1 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Caldas scoring profile: strong

Caldas scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scoring profile: very strong

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

16Goals scored (season)29
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
23Goals conceded (season)17
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
2.29Average goals in match2.71
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3Goals scored (last 5)11
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
11Goals conceded (last 5)4
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal82%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
29%2 goals47%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0%3 goals29%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0%4 goals12%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal71%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
47%2 goals18%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
6%3 goals12%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
6%4 goals0%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 17 matches
44%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time35%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
12%BTTS in both halves12%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
18%Scored in both halves41%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
40%BTTS - last 580%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Caldas · 1.41 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Caldas - half-time state
12% leading53% draw35% trailing
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - half-time state
29% leading53% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.41
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.76
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.35
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
53%Clean sheet before half-time53%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
71%No goal before half-time47%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.88
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.35
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
29%Clean sheet after half-time59%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
47%No goal after half-time29%
CaldasAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Caldas - second-half results

24% W29% D47% L
15
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding242%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results

53% W29% D18% L
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Caldas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caldas
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caldas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
182%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

CaldasLigaAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Average goals in match 2.292.11 2.71
Both teams scored 47%44% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%34% 35%
Clean sheets 24%35% 29%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 65%
Goal after half-time 88%73% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.11
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFYellow cardTiago André Araújo Rodrigues
  2. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Marco João Costa BaixinhoOff: Guilherme Willian da Silva
  3. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Bruno Miguel Vicente dos SantosOff: Camilo José Triana Fragozo
  4. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: António Manuel Pereira XavierOff: Jean Carlos Sinisterra Angulo
  5. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Nuno Miguel Silva BarbosaOff: Daniel João Santos Candeias

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Caldas 0 - 1 - 0 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0 : 0
Caldas SC

FAQ

What was the result of Caldas vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

The Liga 3 match finished Caldas 1:0 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Caldas vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

Caldas score 0.94 goals per game on average and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1.71. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Caldas's matches and 59% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's.

What form are Caldas and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in?

Over the last 5 games Caldas have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caldas vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.