Caldas vs Atlético CP: match statistics
Atlético CP sits at the top of the table and displays solid away form with a 45% away win rate and an impressive 45% clean sheet ratio. The visitors possess a positive away goal difference of +4, whereas Caldas has a zero goal difference at home. Even though Caldas shows strong recent form (4 wins in their last 5 matches), their 45% home win rate merely equals Atlético's away record, and the visitors are more defensively efficient, conceding an average of only 0.64 goals per away game compared to the 1.27 conceded by Caldas at home. Atlético CP also has better xG Against statistics (1.33 vs 0.99), which suggests a more solid defense. Given the visitors' position as league leaders, their defensive stability, and positive form in recent matches, we predict an Atlético CP win, although Caldas as the home side has a chance to fight for points.
Caldas vs Atlético CP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caldas played Atlético CP in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Caldas: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Atlético CP: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caldas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Atlético CP scores 1.18 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caldas 45%, Atlético CP 36%. Over 2.5: Caldas 41%, Atlético CP 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético CP has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.21. Caldas: 8.8 shots per match, Atlético CP: 9.9.
Match halves
Caldas: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68. Atlético CP: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Caldas: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlético CP: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético CP sits at the top of the table and displays solid away form with a 45% away win rate and an impressive 45% clean sheet ratio. The visitors possess a positive away goal difference of +4, whereas Caldas has a zero goal difference at home. Even though Caldas shows strong recent form (4 wins in their last 5 matches), their 45% home win rate merely equals Atlético's away record, and the visitors are more defensively efficient, conceding an average of only 0.64 goals per away game compared to the 1.27 conceded by Caldas at home. Atlético CP also has better xG Against statistics (1.33 vs 0.99), which suggests a more solid defense. Given the visitors' position as league leaders, their defensive stability, and positive form in recent matches, we predict an Atlético CP win, although Caldas as the home side has a chance to fight for points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caldas | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caldas is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Caldas · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético CP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Caldas · 1.18 goals / match - Atlético CP
Atlético CP is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Caldas · 0.91 goals / match - Atlético CP
Caldas scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Atlético CP scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caldas
Over / Under - Atlético CP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Caldas · 1.45 pts / match - Atlético CP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caldas
Atlético CP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Caldas | Liga | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.18 | 2.18 | • 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 37% | • 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Caldas 0 - 0 - 2 Atlético CP. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caldas vs Atlético CP?
The Liga 3 match finished Caldas 0:1 Atlético CP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caldas and Atlético CP?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caldas won 0, Atlético CP won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caldas vs Atlético CP?
Caldas score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético CP 1.18. The Liga 3 average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Caldas's matches and 36% of Atlético CP's.
What form are Caldas and Atlético CP in?
Over the last 5 games Caldas have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atlético CP 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caldas vs Atlético CP?
The statistical background for Caldas vs Atlético CP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.