Portugal - Liga 3Campo da MataData current as of 13 September 2026

Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caldas play Vitória de Sernache in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 13 September 2026. Venue: Campo da Mata.

Current form

Caldas: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Vitória de Sernache: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caldas scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Vitória de Sernache scores 0.75 and concedes 2.75. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caldas 25%, Vitória de Sernache 50%. Over 2.5: Caldas 25%, Vitória de Sernache 75%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Vitória de Sernache has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. Caldas: 10.0 shots per match, Vitória de Sernache: 8.3.

Match halves

Caldas: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Vitória de Sernache: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Caldas: 31-45+ (1 goals). Vitória de Sernache: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.75Goals scored / match0.75
CaldasVitória de Sernache
1.25Goals conceded / match2.75
CaldasVitória de Sernache
50%Average possession43%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
3.25Shots on target / match5.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match8.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache
3.25Shots on target5.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache
7.5%Shot conversion9.1%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
50%Possession43%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
1.21xG for1.35
CaldasVitória de Sernache
1.59xG against1.73
CaldasVitória de Sernache

Shooting quality

Caldas: BalancedVitória de Sernache: Balanced
CaldasVitória de Sernache
Accuracy (shots on target)33%64%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Caldas is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Caldas · 0.25 pts / match - Vitória de Sernache

Caldas
LDLW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 25%
Vitória de Sernache
LDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caldas is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Caldas · 2.75 goals / match - Vitória de Sernache

Caldas scoring profile: strong

Caldas scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Vitória de Sernache keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Vitória de Sernache scoring profile: mixed

Vitória de Sernache scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

3Goals scored (season)3
CaldasVitória de Sernache
5Goals conceded (season)11
CaldasVitória de Sernache
2Average goals in match3.5
CaldasVitória de Sernache
3Goals scored (last 5)3
CaldasVitória de Sernache
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
CaldasVitória de Sernache

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%2 goals25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%3 goals0%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%4 goals0%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%2 goals75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%3 goals75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%4 goals25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Vitória de Sernache - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 4 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%Scored in both halves0%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%BTTS - last 550%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

2nd half

25%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caldas is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Caldas · 0.5 pts / match - Vitória de Sernache

Caldas - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Vitória de Sernache - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1.5
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.75Average goals (1st half)2
CaldasVitória de Sernache
50%Clean sheet before half-time25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
75%No goal before half-time75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per match (2nd half)0.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
CaldasVitória de Sernache
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.5
CaldasVitória de Sernache
75%Clean sheet after half-time25%
CaldasVitória de Sernache
75%No goal after half-time75%
CaldasVitória de Sernache

Caldas - second-half results

0% W75% D25% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória de Sernache - second-half results

0% W25% D75% L
2
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Caldas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.75
Goals scored / match0.30.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.8
Average goals in match0.81.3
1 goal75%25%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 25% leading - 25% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 75% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Vitória de Sernache - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.500.25
Goals scored / match0.50.3
Goals conceded / match1.51.3
Average goals in match2.01.5
1 goal75%75%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals50%25%
Clean sheet25%25%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 25% draw - 75% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caldas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Vitória de Sernache
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caldas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Vitória de Sernache

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
218%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

CaldasLigaVitória de Sernache
Average goals in match 2.002.43 3.50
Both teams scored 25%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%48% 75%
Clean sheets 50%33% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%65% 75%
Goal after half-time 25%70% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Caldas and Vitória de Sernache play?

Caldas face Vitória de Sernache on 13 September 2026 in Liga 3 at Campo da Mata. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?

Caldas score 0.75 goals per game on average and Vitória de Sernache 0.75. The Liga 3 average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Caldas's matches and 50% of Vitória de Sernache's.

What form are Caldas and Vitória de Sernache in?

Over the last 5 games Caldas have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vitória de Sernache 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.