Calvary vs BUL: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a clash between two teams in very poor form, which points towards a draw. Calvary remains winless this season and has a dismal home record (0 home wins, 50% loss rate), though they have drawn twice in their last five matches. BUL is in even worse shape with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in their last five outings. Both teams possess identical statistics in their respective venues – averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match – suggesting a similar level of quality. Given that Calvary records 50% draws at home and BUL 50% draws away, combined with the catastrophic form of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. A slight advantage for the hosts stems solely from the home field factor, although their home record (0 wins) does not substantiate this edge.
Calvary vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary played BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Calvary: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. BUL: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.55 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. BUL scores 0.82 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 36%, BUL 45%. Over 2.5: Calvary 36%, BUL 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
BUL has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.17. Calvary: 4.1 shots per match, BUL: 9.6.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.27. BUL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.09.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). BUL: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a clash between two teams in very poor form, which points towards a draw. Calvary remains winless this season and has a dismal home record (0 home wins, 50% loss rate), though they have drawn twice in their last five matches. BUL is in even worse shape with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in their last five outings. Both teams possess identical statistics in their respective venues – averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match – suggesting a similar level of quality. Given that Calvary records 50% draws at home and BUL 50% draws away, combined with the catastrophic form of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. A slight advantage for the hosts stems solely from the home field factor, although their home record (0 wins) does not substantiate this edge.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Calvary · 0.82 goals / match - BUL
BUL is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Calvary · 1.18 goals / match - BUL
Calvary scores in 36% of matches (4 of 11 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
BUL scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calvary
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 222% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.45 pts / match - Calvary · 1.45 pts / match - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.37 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 42% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 32% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 62% | ▼ 27% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs BUL?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 0:1 BUL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs BUL?
Calvary score 0.55 goals per game on average and BUL 0.82. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Calvary's matches and 45% of BUL's.
What form are Calvary and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BUL 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs BUL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.