Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Calvary vs KCCA: match statistics

Calvary crest
Calvary
1 : 0half-time 0:0
KCCA crest
KCCA

Calvary vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calvary play KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KCCA: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. KCCA scores 1.53 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calvary 21%, KCCA 43%. Over 2.5: Calvary 17%, KCCA 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

KCCA has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.18. Calvary: 3.6 shots per match, KCCA: 11.8.

Match halves

Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21. KCCA: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). KCCA: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Statistics clearly favor KCCA: the visitors sit 2nd with a record of 16 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses and 36 goals scored, while Calvary are 16th with only 1 win, 7 draws and 9 goals. Form confirms KCCA's superiority — in the last 5 matches the visitors have 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 points per game, whereas Calvary have just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 and average 1.0 point. Quality-of-chances analysis shows Calvary at home average 16 shots (4 on target) and a home xG of 1.91, but they score only 0.45 goals on average and fail to score in 73% of home matches, indicating severe inefficiency. KCCA away average 9.92 shots (3.33 on target), have a conversion rate of about 11% and score 1.08 goals per match, and they conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, giving them an edge in offensive efficiency and defensive stability. Considering the goal differential (36 vs 9), finishing efficiency and recent form, I predict an away win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
CalvaryKCCA
-1Shots-1
CalvaryKCCA
-1Shots on target-1
CalvaryKCCA
0xG0
CalvaryKCCA
-1Corners-1
CalvaryKCCA
0Dangerous attacks0
CalvaryKCCA
-1Fouls-1
CalvaryKCCA
-1Cards-1
CalvaryKCCA

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.48Goals scored / match1.53
CalvaryKCCA
1.24Goals conceded / match0.73
CalvaryKCCA
20%Average possession55%
CalvaryKCCA
0.79Shots on target / match4.43
CalvaryKCCA

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.62Shots per match11.77
CalvaryKCCA
0.79Shots on target4.43
CalvaryKCCA
13.3%Shot conversion13%
CalvaryKCCA
20%Possession55%
CalvaryKCCA
1.18xG for1.68
CalvaryKCCA
1.86xG against1.13
CalvaryKCCA

Shooting quality

Calvary: Counter-attackingKCCA: Efficient finishing
CalvaryKCCA
Accuracy (shots on target)22%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.330.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.610.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KCCA is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Calvary · 2.2 pts / match - KCCA

Calvary
LWDDW
Season result split
14% W31% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-16
0.72 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-5
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
KCCA
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W17% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-6
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KCCA is 219% better for: goals scored per match.

0.48 goals / match - Calvary · 1.53 goals / match - KCCA

KCCA is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.24 goals / match - Calvary · 0.73 goals / match - KCCA

Calvary scoring profile: more difficult

Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

KCCA scoring profile: strong

KCCA scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).

14Goals scored (season)46
CalvaryKCCA
36Goals conceded (season)22
CalvaryKCCA
1.72Average goals in match2.27
CalvaryKCCA
4Goals scored (last 5)10
CalvaryKCCA
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
CalvaryKCCA

How often they score at least...

34%1 goal73%
CalvaryKCCA
14%2 goals50%
CalvaryKCCA
0%3 goals20%
CalvaryKCCA
0%4 goals10%
CalvaryKCCA

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal60%
CalvaryKCCA
28%2 goals10%
CalvaryKCCA
17%3 goals3%
CalvaryKCCA
14%4 goals0%
CalvaryKCCA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
CalvaryKCCA
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CalvaryKCCA
3%Scored in both halves37%
CalvaryKCCA

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
CalvaryKCCA
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
CalvaryKCCA
20%BTTS - last 560%
CalvaryKCCA

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

48%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
CalvaryKCCA
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
CalvaryKCCA
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
CalvaryKCCA

2nd half

41%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
CalvaryKCCA
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
CalvaryKCCA
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
CalvaryKCCA

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KCCA is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Calvary · 1.73 pts / match - KCCA

Calvary - half-time state
7% leading55% draw38% trailing
KCCA - half-time state
47% leading33% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.73
CalvaryKCCA
0.21Goals scored (1st half)0.77
CalvaryKCCA
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
CalvaryKCCA
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.07
CalvaryKCCA
59%Clean sheet before half-time70%
CalvaryKCCA
83%No goal before half-time47%
CalvaryKCCA

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.63
CalvaryKCCA
0.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
CalvaryKCCA
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
CalvaryKCCA
0.66Average goals (2nd half)1.2
CalvaryKCCA
69%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CalvaryKCCA
83%No goal after half-time43%
CalvaryKCCA

Calvary - second-half results

14% W62% R24% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KCCA - second-half results

43% W33% R23% P
52
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.00.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
KCCA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
5
10
0-15
0
8
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

KCCA
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
8
2
16-30
10
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
12
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.99
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+201%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

KCCA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
184%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

CalvaryLigaKCCA
Average goals in match 1.722.09 2.27
Both teams scored 21%38% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%35% 50%
Clean sheets 38%39% 40%
Goal before half-time 48%59% 73%
Goal after half-time 41%62% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 KCCA. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

KCCA
4 : 2
Calvary

FAQ

What was the result of Calvary vs KCCA?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 1:0 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs KCCA?

Calvary score 0.48 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.53. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Calvary's matches and 43% of KCCA's.

What form are Calvary and KCCA in?

Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KCCA 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs KCCA?

The statistical background for Calvary vs KCCA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.