Calvary vs KCCA: match statistics
Calvary vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary play KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KCCA: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. KCCA scores 1.53 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 21%, KCCA 43%. Over 2.5: Calvary 17%, KCCA 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.18. Calvary: 3.6 shots per match, KCCA: 11.8.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21. KCCA: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). KCCA: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistics clearly favor KCCA: the visitors sit 2nd with a record of 16 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses and 36 goals scored, while Calvary are 16th with only 1 win, 7 draws and 9 goals. Form confirms KCCA's superiority — in the last 5 matches the visitors have 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 points per game, whereas Calvary have just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 and average 1.0 point. Quality-of-chances analysis shows Calvary at home average 16 shots (4 on target) and a home xG of 1.91, but they score only 0.45 goals on average and fail to score in 73% of home matches, indicating severe inefficiency. KCCA away average 9.92 shots (3.33 on target), have a conversion rate of about 11% and score 1.08 goals per match, and they conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, giving them an edge in offensive efficiency and defensive stability. Considering the goal differential (36 vs 9), finishing efficiency and recent form, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.61 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calvary · 2.2 pts / match - KCCA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 219% better for: goals scored per match.
0.48 goals / match - Calvary · 1.53 goals / match - KCCA
KCCA is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Calvary · 0.73 goals / match - KCCA
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
KCCA scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Calvary
Over / Under — KCCA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Calvary · 1.73 pts / match - KCCA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
KCCA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.72 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 KCCA. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs KCCA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 1:0 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs KCCA?
Calvary score 0.48 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.53. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Calvary's matches and 43% of KCCA's.
What form are Calvary and KCCA in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KCCA 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs KCCA?
The statistical background for Calvary vs KCCA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


