Calvary vs Kitara: match statistics
Kitara is the clear favorite in this match. The hosts, Calvary, occupy the last 16th place in the table, have not won a single match this season, and have scored only 6 goals while conceding 24. Their home form is dismal – 0% wins, 67% of matches without a goal scored, and a five-match winless streak. On the other hand, Kitara sits in 4th place with a record of 9 wins, displaying excellent form – 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per game. The visitors have better xG statistics (2.09 vs 1.91), shooting accuracy (8% vs 0%), and a 50% away win rate. The class difference between the two teams is clear, which points to a certain victory for Kitara.
Calvary vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary played Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Calvary: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kitara: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.43 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.54 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 29%, Kitara 38%. Over 2.5: Calvary 29%, Kitara 38%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.22. Calvary: 4.7 shots per match, Kitara: 12.4.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21. Kitara: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitara is the clear favorite in this match. The hosts, Calvary, occupy the last 16th place in the table, have not won a single match this season, and have scored only 6 goals while conceding 24. Their home form is dismal – 0% wins, 67% of matches without a goal scored, and a five-match winless streak. On the other hand, Kitara sits in 4th place with a record of 9 wins, displaying excellent form – 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per game. The visitors have better xG statistics (2.09 vs 1.91), shooting accuracy (8% vs 0%), and a 50% away win rate. The class difference between the two teams is clear, which points to a certain victory for Kitara.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitara is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Calvary · 2.4 pts / match - Kitara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 258% better for: goals scored per match.
0.43 goals / match - Calvary · 1.54 goals / match - Kitara
Kitara is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Calvary · 0.77 goals / match - Kitara
Calvary scores in 29% of matches (4 of 14 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Kitara scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calvary
Over / Under - Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 316% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Calvary · 2.08 pts / match - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.32 | • 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs Kitara?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 0:1 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Kitara?
Calvary score 0.43 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.54. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Calvary's matches and 38% of Kitara's.
What form are Calvary and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kitara 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Kitara?
The statistical background for Calvary vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.