Calvary vs Mbarara City: match statistics
Calvary vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary played Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Calvary: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mbarara City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.56 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 33%, Mbarara City 78%. Over 2.5: Calvary 44%, Mbarara City 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.04. Calvary: 3.4 shots per match, Mbarara City: 9.3.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.22. Mbarara City: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). Mbarara City: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 19% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.84 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbarara City is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Calvary · 0.8 pts / match - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbarara City is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.56 goals / match - Calvary · 1 goals / match - Mbarara City
Mbarara City is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.11 goals / match - Calvary · 1.67 goals / match - Mbarara City
Calvary scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Mbarara City scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calvary
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mbarara City is 102% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / match - Calvary · 0.89 pts / match - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.43 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 1:1 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Mbarara City?
Calvary score 0.56 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Calvary's matches and 78% of Mbarara City's.
What form are Calvary and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Mbarara City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.