Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Cambridge United boasts an impressive home form with a 71% win rate at home and just a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. The hosts are currently 4th in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals while conceding only 4. Bristol Rovers occupy a distant 19th place with a disastrous away record – 64% losses on the road and a -12 goal difference. The visitors display poor offensive efficiency away from home (0.93 goals per game) and concede an average of 1.79 goals, which, given the hosts' excellent defense (0.64 goals conceded at home), puts them at a significant disadvantage. Considering Cambridge's advantage in possession, shot accuracy, and overall form, a home victory appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cambridge United played Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Cambridge United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cambridge United scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 0.93 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cambridge United 47%, Bristol Rovers 40%. Over 2.5: Cambridge United 37%, Bristol Rovers 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cambridge United has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.27. Cambridge United: 11.2 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 11.2.
Match halves
Cambridge United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.83. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cambridge United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cambridge United boasts an impressive home form with a 71% win rate at home and just a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. The hosts are currently 4th in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals while conceding only 4. Bristol Rovers occupy a distant 19th place with a disastrous away record – 64% losses on the road and a -12 goal difference. The visitors display poor offensive efficiency away from home (0.93 goals per game) and concede an average of 1.79 goals, which, given the hosts' excellent defense (0.64 goals conceded at home), puts them at a significant disadvantage. Considering Cambridge's advantage in possession, shot accuracy, and overall form, a home victory appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cambridge United | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cambridge United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Cambridge United · 1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cambridge United is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Cambridge United · 0.93 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.67 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Bristol Rovers scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cambridge United
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cambridge United is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Cambridge United · 1.1 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cambridge United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cambridge United
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cambridge United | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.60 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cambridge United 0 - 0 - 1 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 3:1 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers?
Cambridge United score 1.40 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 0.93. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cambridge United's matches and 40% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Cambridge United and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.