Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.
Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cambridge United played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cambridge United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cambridge United scores 1.45 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.88 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cambridge United 48%, Milton Keynes Dons 58%. Over 2.5: Cambridge United 36%, Milton Keynes Dons 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Cambridge United: 11.3 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.2.
Match halves
Cambridge United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.88. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Cambridge United: 31-45+ (11 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cambridge United | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cambridge United · 2.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.88 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cambridge United
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Cambridge United · 2.03 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cambridge United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cambridge United
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cambridge United | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cambridge United 0 - 1 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 1:1 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Cambridge United score 1.45 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.88. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cambridge United's matches and 58% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Cambridge United and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.