England - EFL League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

Cambridge United vs Swindon Town: match statistics

Cambridge United vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cambridge United play Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 2 April 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Cambridge United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cambridge United scores 1.43 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cambridge United 46%, Swindon Town 59%. Over 2.5: Cambridge United 35%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Cambridge United has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.35. Cambridge United: 11.6 shots per match, Swindon Town: 11.7.

Match halves

Cambridge United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.83. Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Cambridge United: 31-45+ (16 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Cambridge United holds a clear defensive edge at home — the hosts concede an average of 0.63 goals per home match versus 1.2 conceded by Swindon in away fixtures, and their average xG against is 1.00 compared to Swindon’s 1.52 on the road. Offensively the sides are comparable: Cambridge scores 1.79 goals per home game while Swindon averages 1.55 away, with xG 1.51 vs 1.43, indicating Cambridge’s advantage is primarily defensive. Swindon generates more shots on target (5.1 vs 4.47) and has a better season goals tally (64 vs 56), but concedes substantially more overall (46 vs 29) and has a smaller away goal difference (+7 vs Cambridge’s +22 at home). In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 7 goals and average 1.6 points per game, however Cambridge have conceded only 2 goals in that span versus Swindon’s 5, confirming their current defensive solidity. Based on these comparisons I give the hosts a slight edge: 58% win, 22% draw, 20% away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
20Shots5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
7Shots on target2
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
2.34xG0.71
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
10Corners5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
82Dangerous attacks33
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
9Fouls5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0Cards2
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
1.43Goals scored / match1.52
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.72Goals conceded / match1.28
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
51%Average possession52%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
3.7Shots on target / match4.63
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match11.67
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
3.7Shots on target4.63
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
12.3%Shot conversion13%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
51%Possession52%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
1.4xG for1.35
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
1xG against1.47
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Shooting quality

Cambridge United: BalancedSwindon Town: Efficient finishing
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)32%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cambridge United is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cambridge United · 0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town

Cambridge United
WDLWD
Season result split
48% W35% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-16-8
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-6-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Swindon Town
WLDLL
Season result split
48% W20% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-9-15
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-9
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swindon Town is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town

Cambridge United is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town

Cambridge United scoring profile: very strong

Cambridge United scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

Swindon Town scoring profile: strong

Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (20 of 46 matches).

66Goals scored (season)70
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
33Goals conceded (season)59
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
2.15Average goals in match2.8
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
2Goals conceded (last 5)12
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal85%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
41%2 goals52%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
17%3 goals15%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
7%4 goals0%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal72%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
13%2 goals39%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
2%3 goals13%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0%4 goals4%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Cambridge United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 46 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time28%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
2%BTTS in both halves7%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
24%Scored in both halves20%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
20%BTTS - last 560%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cambridge United is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.61 pts / match - Cambridge United · 1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town

Cambridge United - half-time state
39% leading43% draw17% trailing
Swindon Town - half-time state
26% leading50% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.61Points per match (1st half)1.28
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.3
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
74%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
50%No goal before half-time52%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
63%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town
50%No goal after half-time43%
Cambridge UnitedSwindon Town

Cambridge United - second-half results

43% W35% R22% P
74
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Swindon Town - second-half results

37% W39% R24% P
59
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cambridge United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cambridge United
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
16
7
31-45
15
5
46-60
10
6
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
10
12
0-15
8
7
16-30
14
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
11
8
61-75
19
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+102%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cambridge United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-28.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Cambridge UnitedLigaSwindon Town
Average goals in match 2.152.57 2.80
Both teams scored 46%52% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%48% 63%
Clean sheets 43%27% 28%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 70%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cambridge United 0 - 0 - 1 Swindon Town. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Swindon Town FC
3 : 2
Cambridge United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Cambridge United vs Swindon Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 1:1 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Swindon Town?

Cambridge United score 1.43 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.52. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cambridge United's matches and 59% of Swindon Town's.

What form are Cambridge United and Swindon Town in?

Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Swindon Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.