Cambuur vs Feyenoord: match statistics

Feyenoord are clear favourites: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals, while Cambuur have suffered 4 defeats and conceded as many as 14 goals. The hosts have lost both of their league matches, with a 1:7 goal difference, and are yet to score at home, conceding an average of 4 goals per game. The quality of chances created also clearly favours the visitors, whose average away xG stands at 2.17 compared with Cambuur’s mere 0.85 at home. Feyenoord average 22 shots, including 6 on target, away from home, with 60% possession, while Cambuur’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.82. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in every away match so far, making a convincing Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the current form of both teams, as the BTTS rate in their last 5 matches was 80% for both Cambuur and Feyenoord. Cambuur conceded an average of 2.8 goals during this period, while Feyenoord scored 2.2 goals per game with a high xG of 2.14, making an away goal highly likely. The hosts did score only 1.0 goal per match in their last five appearances, but they created chances worth 1.78 xG and averaged 27 shots in the season data. Feyenoord conceded 1.0 goal per game in its last 5 matches, while its xG against stood at 1.29, leaving Cambuur with a realistic path to scoring despite the visitors’ previous clean sheet. In addition, the league BTTS rate is a high 72%, making a scenario in which both teams score more likely than a match where at least one team fails to score.

Cambuur’s last five matches produced an average of 3.8 goals, with the team scoring 1.0 and conceding as many as 2.8 per game. Over the same period, Feyenoord averaged 2.2 goals scored, while their matches produced an average of 3.2 goals. In their last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 100% of Cambuur’s matches and 80% of Feyenoord’s, strongly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is confirmed by an average xG of 2.14, while Cambuur allows opponents 1.55 xG and conceded 14 goals in five matches. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as even under a more cautious assessment, the match shows a clear statistical edge toward at least two goals.

Feyenoord have been clearly stronger over their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while winning 80% of their games. By contrast, Cambuur have suffered four defeats in five matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.8 conceded per game. The strongest signal concerns the first half: Cambuur were trailing at the break in each of their last five appearances, scoring just 0.33 goals before half-time and conceding 2.0. The visitors have not been behind at half-time during this period, with a first-half average of 0.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per match. Feyenoord also have the edge in chance quality, with an average xG of 2.17, while Cambuur allow opponents an xG of 1.48. The visitors remain effective after the break, averaging 1.4 goals across their last five matches, so the most likely HT/FT outcome is for Feyenoord to lead at the break and maintain their winning result through to full-time.