Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Cancún presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 67% wins and just 11% losses. The hosts have scored 30 goals this season while conceding only 13, giving a goal difference of +16 in home games. Atlético Zacatepec fares much worse in away matches, recording 43% losses and conceding an average of 1.57 goals per match while scoring just 1.29. Additionally, the hosts maintain clean sheets in 67% of home matches and surpass the visitors in terms of average xG (1.79 vs 1.38). Despite weaker form in the last five overall matches, Cancún's dominance at their own stadium and Zacatepec's weakness on the road unequivocally point to a home victory.
Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cancún played Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cancún: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cancún scores 1.67 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.07 and concedes 1.87. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cancún 39%, Atlético Zacatepec 60%. Over 2.5: Cancún 44%, Atlético Zacatepec 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cancún has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.38. Cancún: 12.3 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 12.0.
Match halves
Cancún: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Cancún: 46-60 (7 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 67% wins and just 11% losses. The hosts have scored 30 goals this season while conceding only 13, giving a goal difference of +16 in home games. Atlético Zacatepec fares much worse in away matches, recording 43% losses and conceding an average of 1.57 goals per match while scoring just 1.29. Additionally, the hosts maintain clean sheets in 67% of home matches and surpass the visitors in terms of average xG (1.79 vs 1.38). Despite weaker form in the last five overall matches, Cancún's dominance at their own stadium and Zacatepec's weakness on the road unequivocally point to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Zacatepec is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cancún · 1 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Cancún · 1.07 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Cancún is 160% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Cancún · 1.87 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Cancún scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cancún
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Cancún · 1 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cancún
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.93 | • 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cancún 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:1 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Cancún score 1.67 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.07. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Cancún's matches and 60% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Cancún and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.