Cancún vs CA La Paz: match statistics
Cancún showcases a significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home match, conceding just 0.58, which proves their solid defense (50% clean sheets). CA La Paz manages only a 27% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of 1.55 goals, with a mere +1 goal difference. Cancún's higher average xG in home matches (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.37 away) confirms their offensive superiority. The form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (3-0-2 vs 3-1-1), though the visitors have recently shown improvement. Taking all statistics into account, Cancún has a clear advantage; however, the solid form of CA La Paz in recent games and their tendency to draw away from home (45%) suggest that a sharing of points is also a realistic scenario.
Cancún vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cancún played CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cancún: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. CA La Paz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cancún scores 1.63 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 1.73 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cancún 46%, CA La Paz 55%. Over 2.5: Cancún 46%, CA La Paz 64%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.42. Cancún: 11.7 shots per match, CA La Paz: 14.2.
Match halves
Cancún: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.79. CA La Paz: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Cancún: 46-60 (8 goals). CA La Paz: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún showcases a significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home match, conceding just 0.58, which proves their solid defense (50% clean sheets). CA La Paz manages only a 27% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of 1.55 goals, with a mere +1 goal difference. Cancún's higher average xG in home matches (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.37 away) confirms their offensive superiority. The form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (3-0-2 vs 3-1-1), though the visitors have recently shown improvement. Taking all statistics into account, Cancún has a clear advantage; however, the solid form of CA La Paz in recent games and their tendency to draw away from home (45%) suggest that a sharing of points is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cancún · 2 pts / match - CA La Paz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Cancún · 1.73 goals / match - CA La Paz
Cancún is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Cancún · 1.59 goals / match - CA La Paz
Cancún scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
CA La Paz scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cancún
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Cancún · 1.5 pts / match - CA La Paz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cancún
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cancún 1 - 0 - 0 CA La Paz. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs CA La Paz?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:1 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs CA La Paz?
Cancún score 1.63 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.73. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cancún's matches and 55% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Cancún and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs CA La Paz?
The statistical background for Cancún vs CA La Paz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.